Combat Edge Model · Full card

ONE Fight Night 49 Bangkok: Gabriel vs Magomedov predictions

Model win probabilities for every bout on ONE Fight Night 49 Bangkok: Gabriel vs Magomedov (November 6, 2026), computed from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. Forecasts freeze before fight night and every result is graded on the public accuracy tracker. Analytics, not betting advice.

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9Total bouts

9Frozen forecasts

7Close matchups

1Model / Elo splits

0Strong model leans

OpenPicks close at start

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Main card predictions

9 matchups · model probability, Elo baseline, fighter records, and your pick in one place.

Lightweight MMAv0.8-2026-10-04

Lucas Gabriel11-1-0

Magomed Magomedov15-0-0

Close matchupModel / Elo split

53%Lucas Gabriel47%Magomed Magomedov

Combat Edge win probabilityElo alone: 42% / 59%

Flyweight Kickboxingv0.8-2026-10-04

Kongthoranee0-0-0

Taiki Naito0-0-0

Close matchup50/50 baseline

49.8%Kongthoranee50.2%Taiki Naito

Combat Edge win probabilityElo alone: 50% / 50%

Strawweight MMAv0.8-2026-10-04

Seung Chul Lee13-1-0

Nazareth Lalthazuala8-0-0

Model leanModel + Elo agree

63%Seung Chul Lee37%Nazareth Lalthazuala

Combat Edge win probabilityElo alone: 55% / 45%

Bantamweight Muay Thaiv0.8-2026-10-04

Nontachai Jitmuangnon0-0-0

Felipe Lobo0-0-0

Close matchup50/50 baseline

49.9%Nontachai Jitmuangnon50.1%Felipe Lobo

Combat Edge win probabilityElo alone: 50% / 50%

Featherweight Kickboxingv0.8-2026-10-04

Jiaqiang Zhou0-0-0

Mamuka Usubyan0-0-0

Close matchup50/50 baseline

49.9%Jiaqiang Zhou50.1%Mamuka Usubyan

Combat Edge win probabilityElo alone: 50% / 50%

Atomweight MMAv0.8-2026-10-04

Victória Souza10-3-0

Magdalena Czaban5-0-0

Close matchupModel + Elo agree

49.2%Victória Souza50.8%Magdalena Czaban

Combat Edge win probabilityElo alone: 49.9% / 50.1%

Lightweight Kickboxingv0.8-2026-10-04

Bogdan Shumarov0-0-0

Gasham Mammadov0-0-0

Close matchup50/50 baseline

49.9%Bogdan Shumarov50.1%Gasham Mammadov

Combat Edge win probabilityElo alone: 50% / 50%

Openweight Submission Grapplingv0.8-2026-10-04

Victor Hugo0-0-0

Devhonte Johnson0-0-0

Close matchup50/50 baseline

49.9%Victor Hugo50.1%Devhonte Johnson

Combat Edge win probabilityElo alone: 50% / 50%

Bantamweight MMAv0.8-2026-10-04

Qalandar Tabarov5-0-0

Ilmadi Israilov9-0-0

Model leanModel + Elo agree

45%Qalandar Tabarov55%Ilmadi Israilov

Combat Edge win probabilityElo alone: 37% / 64%