ONE FIGHT NIGHT 49 BANGKOK : GABRIEL VS MAGOMEDOV

Victória Souza vs Magdalena Czaban

Nov 6, 2026 · Amazon Prime

Combat Edge model forecast49%Victória Souza51%Magdalena CzabanFull forecast and your pick

DateNov 6, 2026

DivisionAtomweight MMA

StatusScheduled

VenueLumpinee Stadium

BroadcastAmazon Prime

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Friday, November 6, 2026 — watch on Amazon Prime.

US East (ET): Fri 9:00 PM
US West (PT): Fri 6:00 PM
United Kingdom: Sat 2:00 AM
Central Europe: Sat 3:00 AM
Australia (Sydney): Sat 1:00 PM
Your time

Victória SouzaVick |10-3-0Victória Souza vs Magdalena CzabanMagdalena CzabanAtomowka |5-0-0

Victória SouzaVick10-3-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

10-3-0Record5-0-0

29Age27

5'0"Height5'1"

60"Reach-

113 lbsWeight115 lbs

Atomweight MMAWeight ClassAtomweight MMA

Magdalena CzabanAtomowka5-0-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Magdalena Czaban owns a 1-point Elo edge (solid). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Victória Souza and Magdalena Czaban across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Victória SouzaMagdalena Czaban

Recent form

Victória SouzaW L W W L · +7 Elo last 5

WLWWL

Magdalena CzabanW W W W W · +123 Elo last 5

WWWWW

Elo edge

Victória Souza1623+18 last move

Magdalena Czaban1624+22 last move

Why they are ranked here

Victória Souza#3 of 11 active Strawweight fighters · 1623 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Itsuki Hirata (rated 1608 at the time): +31.
Costliest loss: Lost to Victoria Lee (rated 1500 at the time): -38.
Last 5 fights: 3 wins, 2 losses, +7 Elo in total.
Next places: 12 points behind #2 Jacinta Austin, 19 ahead of #4 Koyuru Tanoue.

Magdalena Czaban#43 of 108 active Women Strawweight fighters · 1624 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Camila Curutchet (rated 1500 at the time): +29.
Last 5 fights: 5 wins, 0 losses, +123 Elo in total.
Next places: 2 points behind #42 Ariane Carnelossi, 2 ahead of #44 Jeisla Chaves.
Opposition: Opponents averaged 1514 Elo over the last 5 fights. Beating higher-rated opponents is worth more.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.8-2026-10-04

49%Victória Souza51%Magdalena Czaban

Model favoriteMagdalena Czaban

Elo baseline50% for Magdalena Czaban

Matchup adjustment+1 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Magdalena CzabanStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model + Elo agree

Magdalena Czaban leads the full model at 51%. Elo agrees, and the complete matchup model strengthens that lean by 1 point.

Current Elo ratings1623 · 1624Magdalena Czaban leads by 1 rating point.

Recent opponent quality1528 · 1514Victória Souza faced the stronger recent schedule (10 vs 5 sampled fights).

Elo record depth13 · 5 fightsVictória Souza has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

What's at stake

Victória SouzaNow 1623 · #3 Strawweight

Wins by decision+16→ 1639

Loses by decision-16→ 1607

Magdalena CzabanNow 1624 · #43 Women Strawweight

Wins by decision+24→ 1648

Loses by decision-24→ 1600

What-if simulatorPremium

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Victória SouzavsMagdalena Czaban

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Victória Souzadecision leads 40% of wins

Magdalena CzabanKO/TKO leads 40% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Victória SouzaMagdalena Czaban

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per minNot available

UFC strawweight average : 4.14

Not availableSig. strike accuracyNot available

UFC strawweight average : 45%

Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per minNot available

UFC strawweight average : 4.13

Not availableSig. strike defenseNot available

UFC strawweight average : 54%

Not availableTakedown averageNot available

UFC strawweight average : 1.36

Not availableTakedown accuracyNot available

UFC strawweight average : 29%

Not availableTakedown defenseNot available

UFC strawweight average : 60%

Not availableSubmission averageNot available

UFC strawweight average : 0.44

3Wins by knockout2

3Wins by submission2

4Wins by decision1

2Losses by knockout0

0Losses by submission0

1Losses by decision0

Victória Souza vs Magdalena Czaban is a scheduled Atomweight MMA fight on ONE FIGHT NIGHT 49 BANGKOK : GABRIEL VS MAGOMEDOV. Victória Souza enters with a 10-3-0 record and Magdalena Czaban enters with a 5-0-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.