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RIZIN Landmark 16 Nagasaki: Horie vs Usami

Main eventYoshinori Horie def. Sho Patrick Usamiby TKO · 13 results recordedFull result →
DateSaturday, October 3, 2026Start 1:00 AM EDT
VenueNagasaki Stadium City Happiness ArenaNagasaki, Japan
BroadcastInternet PPVHow to watch
Join the discussionPredictions & oddsOfficial RIZIN event ↗
Fight resultsComplete13 of 13 outcomes recordedView resultsHide results

Results appear as they are recorded; confirmation may be delayed. Each result shows what it does to both ratings: projected at first, then the published change once the rankings have counted the bout.

Latest result observation: . Observation times may follow the bout.

  1. Yoshinori Horie vs Sho Patrick UsamiYoshinori Horie def. Sho Patrick Usami by TKO · Round 2 · 3:37Elo: Yoshinori Horie +16 to 1669 · Sho Patrick Usami −16 to 1577
  2. Viktor Kolesnik vs Koyomi MatsushimaViktor Kolesnik def. Koyomi Matsushima by TKO · Round 2 · 0:20Elo: Viktor Kolesnik +10 to 1729 · Koyomi Matsushima −13 to 1587
  3. Ryan Cafaro vs Hyuma YasuiHyuma Yasui def. Ryan Cafaro by Decision (Unanimous) · Round 3 · 5:00Elo: Ryan Cafaro −18 to 1612 · Hyuma Yasui +28 to 1606
  4. Keito Oyama vs Noeru NaritaKeito Oyama def. Noeru Narita by Decision (Split) · Round 3 · 5:00Elo: Keito Oyama +15 to 1547 · Noeru Narita −22 to 1539
  5. Kyohei Takagi vs Masatoshi UedaKyohei Takagi def. Masatoshi Ueda by TKO · Round 1 · 3:26Elo: Kyohei Takagi +20 to 1646 · Masatoshi Ueda −10 to 1512
  6. Ryusei Ashizawa vs Seiya InoueSeiya Inoue def. Ryusei Ashizawa by TKO (Punches) · Round 1 · 4:56Elo: Ryusei Ashizawa −25 to 1440 · Seiya Inoue +25 to 1531
  7. Hidetaka Arato vs Ken HasegawaHidetaka Arato def. Ken Hasegawa by Decision (Unanimous) · Round 3 · 5:00Elo: Hidetaka Arato +16 to 1616 · Ken Hasegawa −16 to 1580
  8. Alan Yamaniha vs Seigo YamamotoAlan Yamaniha def. Seigo Yamamoto by Submission · Round 1 · 3:00Elo: Alan Yamaniha +8 to 1592 · Seigo Yamamoto −10 to 1400
  9. Kohei Sugiyama vs Kaito OdaKohei Sugiyama def. Kaito Oda by Decision (Split) · Round 3 · 5:00Elo: Kohei Sugiyama +11 to 1604 · Kaito Oda −14 to 1601
  10. Ryota Oki vs Daisuke OkumiyaRyota Oki def. Daisuke Okumiya by TKO · Round 1 · 4:47Elo: Ryota Oki +22 to 1521 · Daisuke Okumiya −33 to 1516
  11. Kotaro Mori vs YukiKotaro Mori def. Yuki by KO · Round 1 · 1:42
  12. Ryusei Imamura vs Reon UemuraRyusei Imamura def. Reon Uemura by TKO · Round 1 · 1;39
  13. Kakeru Tsuda vs AyutoAyuto def. Kakeru Tsuda by Decision (Unanimous) · Round 3 · 3:00

Recorded results remain available on this page.

Recorded results vs forecast

How the card compared with expectations

Model +4 vs Elo
Combat Edge model11-285% accuracy
Elo-only baseline7-654% accuracy
Biggest model surpriseKohei Sugiyama wonThe frozen model gave the winner 28% against Kaito Oda.

On 4 split calls, the model led 4-0.

See all 13 graded bouts
Model hitYoshinori Horie vs Sho Patrick UsamiPicked Yoshinori Horie · 69%Winner: Yoshinori Horie · Elo hitModel hitViktor Kolesnik vs Koyomi MatsushimaPicked Viktor Kolesnik · 81%Winner: Viktor Kolesnik · Elo hitModel hitRyan Cafaro vs Hyuma YasuiPicked Hyuma Yasui · 55%Winner: Hyuma Yasui · Elo missModel missKeito Oyama vs Noeru NaritaPicked Noeru Narita · 67%Winner: Keito Oyama · Elo missModel hitKyohei Takagi vs Masatoshi UedaPicked Kyohei Takagi · 75%Winner: Kyohei Takagi · Elo hitModel hitRyusei Ashizawa vs Seiya InouePicked Seiya Inoue · 54%Winner: Seiya Inoue · Elo hitModel hitHidetaka Arato vs Ken HasegawaPicked Hidetaka Arato · 50%Winner: Hidetaka Arato · Elo missModel hitAlan Yamaniha vs Seigo YamamotoPicked Alan Yamaniha · 58%Winner: Alan Yamaniha · Elo hitModel missKohei Sugiyama vs Kaito OdaPicked Kaito Oda · 72%Winner: Kohei Sugiyama · Elo missModel hitRyota Oki vs Daisuke OkumiyaPicked Ryota Oki · 58%Winner: Ryota Oki · Elo missModel hitKotaro Mori vs YukiPicked Kotaro Mori · 50%Winner: Kotaro Mori · Elo hitModel hitRyusei Imamura vs Reon UemuraPicked Ryusei Imamura · 55%Winner: Ryusei Imamura · Elo hitModel hitKakeru Tsuda vs AyutoPicked Ayuto · 51%Winner: Ayuto · Elo miss

Main card

Yoshinori Horie
Elo1669Good
3Y trend1634 → 1669
2024-02-24: 16342025-06-14: 16562025-09-27: 16402026-04-11: 16542026-10-03: 1669
WinnerjpYoshinori HorieRising Star16-6-0LightweightVSFight details →LoserjpSho Patrick Usami9-6-0Sho Patrick Usami
Elo1577Solid
3Y trend1619 → 1577
2024-06-09: 16192024-09-29: 15952024-12-08: 15852025-05-31: 15972025-11-02: 15732026-05-09: 15932026-10-03: 1577
Ryan Cafaro
Elo1612Solid
3Y trend1571 → 1612
2023-12-15: 15712025-03-14: 15882025-05-24: 15982025-12-20: 16112026-05-09: 16302026-10-03: 1612
LoserusRyan Cafaro15-7-0FeatherweightVSFight details →WinnerjpHyuma Yasui5-1-0Hyuma Yasui
Elo1606Solid
3Y trend1546 → 1606
2024-08-31: 15462024-12-08: 15692024-12-31: 15882025-11-02: 15632026-04-19: 15782026-10-03: 1606
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Keito Oyama
Elo1547Average
3Y trend1474 → 1547
2024-03-24: 14742024-07-28: 14622024-11-04: 14832025-05-31: 15002025-09-07: 15152025-11-02: 15302026-03-07: 15182026-05-09: 15322026-10-03: 1547
WinnerjpKeito OyamaKate Lotus11-8-0AtomweightVSFight details →LoserjpNoeru NaritaNoel4-3-0Noeru Narita
Elo1539Average
3Y trend1523 → 1539
2024-08-03: 15232024-09-22: 14992024-12-15: 15312025-07-27: 15102025-11-02: 15382026-03-07: 15612026-10-03: 1539
Kyohei Takagi
Elo1646Solid
3Y trend1524 → 1646
2024-10-05: 15242025-08-01: 15512025-11-02: 15282026-02-22: 15552026-04-11: 15822026-07-05: 16022026-07-17: 16262026-10-03: 1646
WinnerjpKyohei TakagiPhoenix / Hinotori7-1-0FlyweightVSFight details →LoserjpMasatoshi UedaMasatatsu22-14-3Masatoshi Ueda
Elo1512Average
3Y trend1553 → 1512
2023-11-18: 15532024-02-24: 15432024-06-29: 15312024-10-27: 15412025-02-26: 15272025-11-02: 15382026-06-28: 15222026-10-03: 1512
Ryusei Ashizawa
Elo1440Developing
3Y trend1475 → 1440
2023-12-31: 14752024-07-28: 15002024-11-17: 15302024-12-31: 15122025-09-27: 14892025-12-30: 14652026-10-03: 1440
LoserjpRyusei Ashizawa2-5-0BantamweightVSFight details →WinnerjpSeiya Inoue2-1-0Seiya Inoue
Elo1531Average
3Y trend1476 → 1531
2026-04-11: 14762026-06-06: 15062026-10-03: 1531
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Hidetaka Arato
Elo1616Solid
3Y trend1664 → 1616
2024-07-25: 16642025-02-01: 16752025-06-14: 16522025-09-13: 16262026-03-20: 16002026-10-03: 1616
WinnerjpHidetaka AratoKaiju Killer12-4-0HeavyweightVSFight details →LoserjpKen Hasegawa18-7-1Ken Hasegawa
Elo1580Solid
3Y trend1618 → 1580
2024-08-31: 16182024-11-04: 16012025-05-24: 15832026-05-23: 15962026-10-03: 1580
Alan Yamaniha
Elo1592Solid
3Y trend1575 → 1592
2024-05-17: 15752024-11-17: 15842026-10-03: 1592
WinnerbrAlan YamanihaHiro23-11-4BantamweightVSFight details →LoserjpSeigo YamamotoRock Lee7-16-1Seigo Yamamoto
Elo1400Developing
3Y trend1410 → 1400
2024-01-20: 14102024-04-20: 14322024-07-13: 14552024-11-17: 14422024-12-28: 14262025-04-12: 14112026-10-03: 1400
Kohei Sugiyama
Elo1604Solid
3Y trend1571 → 1604
2024-03-23: 15712024-09-16: 15592025-03-23: 15712025-09-06: 15822025-12-14: 15932026-10-03: 1604
WinnerjpKohei Sugiyama17-10-0FlyweightVSFight details →LoserjpKaito Oda8-4-0Kaito Oda
Elo1601Solid
3Y trend1541 → 1601
2023-10-06: 15412024-03-09: 15662024-04-26: 15862024-06-14: 16042024-12-22: 16232025-05-30: 16422025-10-11: 16102026-02-01: 16302026-05-29: 16162026-10-03: 1601

Prelims

Event command center

Card at a glance

All 13 recorded outcomes are in

Complete
Frozen model coverage13/13 boutsEvery tracked bout has a pre-fight model snapshot.
Model vs Elo3 disagreements7 of 10 comparable forecasts pick the same side as Elo alone.
Review results and Elo movement

Event status

Complete

Event progress

All 13 recorded outcomes are in. Final fight details and published Elo changes stay together here.

  1. AnnouncementDoneDate and location tracked
  2. Fight cardDone13 bouts tracked
  3. ResultsDone13 of 13 outcomes recorded
  4. Elo movementPublished10 bouts matched to the published snapshot
View predictions & modelHow Combat Edge Elo works

Published rating impact

Elo movement from this event

10 matched bouts

RIZIN Landmark 16 Nagasaki: Horie vs Usami is a completed combat sports event scheduled for Saturday, October 3, 2026 at Nagasaki Stadium City Happiness Arena in Nagasaki, Japan. The fight card includes 13 tracked fights, led by Yoshinori Horie vs Sho Patrick Usami, with bout links, fighter profiles, results, and Combat Edge stats. Main event result: Yoshinori Horie def. Sho Patrick Usami by TKO.

RIZIN Landmark 16 Nagasaki: Horie vs Usami quick answers

When is RIZIN Landmark 16 Nagasaki: Horie vs Usami?

RIZIN Landmark 16 Nagasaki: Horie vs Usami is scheduled for Saturday, October 3, 2026. Start 1:00 AM EDT.

Where is RIZIN Landmark 16 Nagasaki: Horie vs Usami?

RIZIN Landmark 16 Nagasaki: Horie vs Usami is listed for Nagasaki Stadium City Happiness Arena in Nagasaki, Japan.

What is the main event for RIZIN Landmark 16 Nagasaki: Horie vs Usami?

The main event listed for RIZIN Landmark 16 Nagasaki: Horie vs Usami is Yoshinori Horie vs Sho Patrick Usami.

How many fights are on RIZIN Landmark 16 Nagasaki: Horie vs Usami?

Combat Edge currently tracks 13 fights for RIZIN Landmark 16 Nagasaki: Horie vs Usami.

Event discussion

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