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RIZIN LANDMARK 16 NAGASAKI : HORIE VS USAMI

Kohei Sugiyama vs Kaito Oda

DateOct 3, 2026
DivisionFlyweight
StatusScheduled
VenueNagasaki Stadium City Happiness Arena
BroadcastInternet PPV
Start times & how to watch
Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, October 3, 2026 — watch on Internet PPV.

US East (ET)
Sat 1:00 AM
US West (PT)
Fri 10:00 PM
United Kingdom
Sat 6:00 AM
Central Europe
Sat 7:00 AM
Australia (Sydney)
Sat 3:00 PM
Kohei Sugiyama16-10-0Kohei Sugiyama vs Kaito OdaKaito Oda8-3-0
jpKohei Sugiyama16-10-0Kohei Sugiyama
Elo1589Solid
3Y trend1556 → 1589
2022-12-18: 15562023-04-15: 15732023-09-18: 15562024-03-23: 15712024-09-16: 15542025-03-23: 15662025-09-06: 15782025-12-14: 1589
jp

Fight Overview

RoundTBD
TimeTBD
16-10-0Record8-3-0
30Age28
5'6"Height5'6"
TBDReachTBD
126 lbsWeight126 lbs
FlyweightWeight ClassFlyweight
jpKaito Oda8-3-0jpKaito Oda
Elo1616Solid
3Y trend1541 → 1616
2023-10-06: 15412024-03-09: 15662024-04-26: 15862024-06-14: 16042024-12-22: 16232025-05-30: 16422025-10-11: 16102026-02-01: 16302026-05-29: 1616
Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Kaito Oda owns a 27-point Elo edge (solid). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Kohei Sugiyama and Kaito Oda across their careers →

Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Kohei SugiyamaKaito Oda
1550160016502023202420252026

Recent form

Kohei SugiyamaW W W L W · +32 Elo last 5
WWWLW
Kaito OdaL W L W W · +12 Elo last 5
LWLWW

Elo edge

Kohei Sugiyama1589+11 last move
Kaito Oda1616-14 last move
Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

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Stat advantages

Kohei SugiyamavsKaito Oda

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Kohei Sugiyamadecision leads 50% of wins
Kaito OdaKO/TKO leads 63% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Kohei SugiyamaKaito Oda

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per minNot available
UFC flyweight average : 3.95
Not availableSig. strike accuracyNot available
UFC flyweight average : 44%
Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per minNot available
UFC flyweight average : 3.87
Not availableSig. strike defenseNot available
UFC flyweight average : 55%
Not availableTakedown averageNot available
UFC flyweight average : 1.44
Not availableTakedown accuracyNot available
UFC flyweight average : 27%
Not availableTakedown defenseNot available
UFC flyweight average : 57%
Not availableSubmission averageNot available
UFC flyweight average : 0.60
2Wins by knockout5
6Wins by submission1
8Wins by decision2
2Losses by knockout0
1Losses by submission0
7Losses by decision3

Kohei Sugiyama vs Kaito Oda is a scheduled Flyweight fight on RIZIN LANDMARK 16 NAGASAKI : HORIE VS USAMI. Kohei Sugiyama enters with a 16-10-0 record and Kaito Oda enters with a 8-3-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.

Kohei Sugiyama vs Kaito Oda quick answers

When is Kohei Sugiyama vs Kaito Oda?

Kohei Sugiyama vs Kaito Oda is listed for RIZIN LANDMARK 16 NAGASAKI : HORIE VS USAMI on Oct 3, 2026 at 1:00 AM EST.

What event is Kohei Sugiyama vs Kaito Oda on?

Kohei Sugiyama vs Kaito Oda is listed on RIZIN LANDMARK 16 NAGASAKI : HORIE VS USAMI.

What are the records for Kohei Sugiyama vs Kaito Oda?

Kohei Sugiyama enters with a 16-10-0 record and Kaito Oda enters with a 8-3-0 record.

What division is Kohei Sugiyama vs Kaito Oda?

Kohei Sugiyama vs Kaito Oda is listed as a Flyweight fight.

Full fight card
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