Adam Assenza vs Shane Mistretta

Oct 10, 2026 · Lift Pass

Pick'em vs the modelWho wins this fight?Make your pick

DateOct 10, 2026

DivisionLightweight

StatusScheduled

VenueChildren's Arena

BroadcastLift Pass

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, October 10, 2026 — watch on Lift Pass.

US East (ET): Sat 6:00 PM
US West (PT): Sat 3:00 PM
United Kingdom: Sat 11:00 PM
Central Europe: Sun 12:00 AM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 9:00 AM
Your time

Adam AssenzaMaverick |19-10-1Adam Assenza vs Shane MistrettaShane Mistretta5-4-0

Adam AssenzaMaverick19-10-1

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

19-10-1Record5-4-0

37Age28

5'7"HeightTBD

TBDReachTBD

155 lbsWeight169 lbs

LightweightWeight ClassLightweight

Shane Mistretta5-4-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Adam Assenza owns a 87-point Elo edge (solid). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Adam Assenza and Shane Mistretta across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Adam AssenzaShane Mistretta

Recent form

Adam AssenzaL W L L D · -47 Elo last 5

LWLLD

Shane MistrettaW L L W L · -21 Elo last 5

WLLWL

Elo edge

Adam Assenza1591-16 last move

Shane Mistretta1504+31 last move

Why they are ranked here

Adam Assenza#267 of 398 active Lightweight fighters · 1591 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Marco Polo Reyes (rated 1594 at the time): +18.
Costliest loss: Lost to Junior Melo (rated 1500 at the time): -27.
Last 5 fights: 1 win, 3 losses, -47 Elo in total.
Next places: 0 points behind #266 Anshul Jubli, 0 ahead of #268 Slimen Hassaini.

Shane Mistretta#312 of 333 active Welterweight fighters · 1504 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Cameron Bennett (rated 1500 at the time): +31.
Costliest loss: Lost to Michael Tovar (rated 1454 at the time): -35.
Last 5 fights: 2 wins, 3 losses, -21 Elo in total.
Next places: 3 points behind #311 Maiwand Hamras, 2 ahead of #313 Joshua Onwordi.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

What's at stake

Adam AssenzaNow 1591 · #267 Lightweight

Wins by decision+9→ 1600

Loses by decision-15→ 1576

Shane MistrettaNow 1504 · #312 Welterweight

Wins by decision+20→ 1524

Loses by decision-12→ 1492

What-if simulatorPremium

Pick the winner and how the fight ends to see both new ratings, both new division ranks, and who each fighter would pass.

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Adam AssenzavsShane Mistretta

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Adam AssenzaKO/TKO leads 58% of wins

Shane Mistrettasubmission leads 60% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Adam AssenzaShane Mistretta

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per minNot available

UFC lightweight average : 3.82

Not availableSig. strike accuracyNot available

UFC lightweight average : 46%

Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per minNot available

UFC lightweight average : 3.91

Not availableSig. strike defenseNot available

UFC lightweight average : 53%

Not availableTakedown averageNot available

UFC lightweight average : 1.68

Not availableTakedown accuracyNot available

UFC lightweight average : 28%

Not availableTakedown defenseNot available

UFC lightweight average : 59%

Not availableSubmission averageNot available

UFC lightweight average : 0.50

11Wins by knockout2

0Wins by submission3

8Wins by decision0

4Losses by knockout2

3Losses by submission0

3Losses by decision2

Adam Assenza vs Shane Mistretta is a scheduled Lightweight fight on BTC 39 : CLARKE VS TENA. Adam Assenza enters with a 19-10-1 record and Shane Mistretta enters with a 5-4-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.