Alex Oliveira vs Tim Means

Dec 31, 2016 · ESPN+

DateDec 31, 2016

DivisionWelterweight

StatusScheduled

VenueT-Mobile Arena

BroadcastESPN+

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, December 31, 2016 — watch on ESPN+.

US East (ET): Sat 9:00 PM
US West (PT): Sat 6:00 PM
United Kingdom: Sun 2:00 AM
Central Europe: Sun 3:00 AM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 1:00 PM
Your time

Alex OliveiraCowboy |26-19-1Alex Oliveira vs Tim MeansTim MeansThe Dirty Bird |33-17-1

Alex OliveiraCowboy26-19-1

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

Time03:35

26-19-1Record33-17-1

38Age42

5'11"Height6'2"

76"Reach75"

170 lbsWeight170 lbs

WelterweightWeight ClassWelterweight

Tim MeansThe Dirty Bird33-17-1

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Tim Means owns a 75-point Elo edge (solid). Alex Oliveira shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. 3 shared opponents give extra context.

Compare Alex Oliveira and Tim Means across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Alex OliveiraTim Means

Recent form

Alex OliveiraL L L W L · -55 Elo last 5

LLLWL

Tim MeansL L W L L · -45 Elo last 5

LLWLL

Elo edge

Alex Oliveira1570-18 last move

Tim Means1645-18 last move

Why they are ranked here

Alex Oliveira#247 of 333 active Welterweight fighters · 1570 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Stefan Sekulic (rated 1590 at the time): +13.
Costliest loss: Lost to Davit Lortqipanidze (rated 1500 at the time): -19.
Last 5 fights: 1 win, 4 losses, -55 Elo in total.
Next places: 0 points behind #246 Bassil Hafez, 0 ahead of #248 Yota Hayashi.

Tim MeansNot on the active ladder · 1645 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Mike Perry (rated 1698 at the time): +13.
Costliest loss: Lost to Court McGee (rated 1590 at the time): -18.
Last 5 fights: 1 win, 4 losses, -45 Elo in total.
Inactivity: Placed on 1627, not 1645: 18 points are held back after more than 18 months without a fight, until the next one.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

What's at stake

Alex OliveiraNow 1570 · #247 Welterweight

Wins by decision+15→ 1585

Loses by decision-9→ 1561

Tim MeansNow 1645

Wins by decision+9→ 1654

Loses by decision-15→ 1630

What-if simulatorPremium

Pick the winner and how the fight ends to see both new ratings, both new division ranks, and who each fighter would pass.

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Alex OliveiravsTim Means

Takedown average

2.35vs1.14

Submission average

0.57vs0.16

Sig. strikes landed per min

2.99vs5.04

Sig. strikes absorbed per min

2.55vs3.65

Finishing profile

Alex OliveiraKO/TKO leads 58% of wins

Tim MeansKO/TKO leads 61% of wins

Common opponents

Max Griffin Alex Oliveira: win · Decision (Split) · Mar 7, 2020 Tim Means: loss · Decision (Split) · Oct 29, 2022

Kevin Holland Alex Oliveira: loss · TKO (elbows) · Mar 5, 2022 Tim Means: loss · Submission (D'arce Choke) · Jun 18, 2022

Nicolas Dalby Alex Oliveira: loss · Decision (Unanimous) · Sep 28, 2019Tim Means: win · Decision (Unanimous) · Jun 26, 2021

Tale of the tape

Alex OliveiraTim Means

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.99Sig. strikes landed per min5.04

UFC welterweight average : 3.66

51Sig. strike accuracy49

UFC welterweight average : 46%

2.55Sig. strikes absorbed per min3.65

UFC welterweight average : 3.86

47Sig. strike defense60

UFC welterweight average : 53%

2.35Takedown average1.14

UFC welterweight average : 1.41

30Takedown accuracy40

UFC welterweight average : 30%

64Takedown defense65

UFC welterweight average : 59%

0.57Submission average0.16

UFC welterweight average : 0.54

15Wins by knockout20

6Wins by submission5

5Wins by decision8

6Losses by knockout3

9Losses by submission8

4Losses by decision6

Alex Oliveira vs Tim Means is a scheduled Welterweight fight on UFC 207 : NUNES VS ROUSEY. Alex Oliveira enters with a 26-19-1 record and Tim Means enters with a 33-17-1 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.