Bec Rawlings vs Lisa Ellis

May 9, 2015 · ESPN+

DateMay 9, 2015

DivisionWomen's Strawweight

StatusScheduled

VenueAdelaide Entertainment Centre

BroadcastESPN+

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, May 9, 2015 — watch on ESPN+.

US East (ET): Sat 2:45 PM
US West (PT): Sat 11:45 AM
United Kingdom: Sat 7:45 PM
Central Europe: Sat 8:45 PM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 4:45 AM
Your time

Bec RawlingsRowdy |8-9-0Bec Rawlings vs Lisa EllisLisa Ellis15-11-0

Bec RawlingsRowdy8-9-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

8-9-0Record15-11-0

37Age43

5'6"Height5'4"

64,0"ReachTBD

116 lbsWeight110 lbs

Women's StrawweightWeight ClassWomen's Strawweight

Lisa Ellis15-11-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Lisa Ellis owns a 29-point Elo edge (average). Lisa Ellis shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Bec Rawlings and Lisa Ellis across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Bec RawlingsLisa Ellis

Recent form

Bec RawlingsW L L L L · -40 Elo last 5

WLLLL

Lisa EllisL L L W L · -63 Elo last 5

LLLWL

Elo edge

Bec Rawlings1502+18 last move

Lisa Ellis1531-11 last move

Why they are ranked here

Bec RawlingsNot on the active ladder · 1502 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Lisa Ellis (rated 1565 at the time): +23.
Costliest loss: Lost to Heather Jo Clark (rated 1500 at the time): -26.
Last 5 fights: 1 win, 4 losses, -40 Elo in total.
Inactivity: Placed on 1412, not 1502: 90 points are held back after more than 18 months without a fight, until the next one.

Lisa EllisNot on the active ladder · 1531 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Aisling Daly (rated 1667 at the time): +18.
Costliest loss: Lost to Bec Rawlings (rated 1502 at the time): -23.
Last 5 fights: 1 win, 4 losses, -63 Elo in total.
Inactivity: Placed on 1441, not 1531: 90 points are held back after more than 18 months without a fight, until the next one.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

What's at stake

Bec RawlingsNow 1502

Wins by decision+17→ 1519

Loses by decision-15→ 1487

Lisa EllisNow 1531

Wins by decision+11→ 1542

Loses by decision-13→ 1518

What-if simulatorPremium

Pick the winner and how the fight ends to see both new ratings, both new division ranks, and who each fighter would pass.

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Bec RawlingsvsLisa Ellis

Takedown average

0.71vs4.19

Sig. strikes landed per min

4.48vs1.68

Sig. strikes absorbed per min

5.66vs2.32

Takedown accuracy

40%vs64%

Finishing profile

Bec Rawlingssubmission leads 50% of wins

Lisa Ellissubmission leads 73% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Bec RawlingsLisa Ellis

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.48Sig. strikes landed per min1.68

UFC strawweight average : 4.15

43Sig. strike accuracy49

UFC strawweight average : 45%

5.66Sig. strikes absorbed per min2.32

UFC strawweight average : 4.11

57Sig. strike defense57

UFC strawweight average : 54%

0.71Takedown average4.19

UFC strawweight average : 1.37

40Takedown accuracy64

UFC strawweight average : 32%

68Takedown defense50

UFC strawweight average : 59%

0.36Submission average0.60

UFC strawweight average : 0.43

1Wins by knockout0

4Wins by submission11

3Wins by decision4

2Losses by knockout1

1Losses by submission8

6Losses by decision2

Bec Rawlings vs Lisa Ellis is a scheduled Women's Strawweight fight on UFC FIGHT NIGHT : MIOCIC VS HUNT. Bec Rawlings enters with a 8-9-0 record and Lisa Ellis enters with a 15-11-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.