Daniel Kelly vs Sam Alvey

May 9, 2015 · ESPN+

DateMay 9, 2015

DivisionMiddleweight

StatusScheduled

VenueAdelaide Entertainment Centre

BroadcastESPN+

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, May 9, 2015 — watch on ESPN+.

US East (ET): Sat 2:45 PM
US West (PT): Sat 11:45 AM
United Kingdom: Sat 7:45 PM
Central Europe: Sat 8:45 PM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 4:45 AM
Your time

Daniel Kelly13-4-0Daniel Kelly vs Sam AlveySam AlveySmile'n |34-18-1

Daniel Kelly13-4-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

13-4-0Record34-18-1

48Age40

6'0"Height6'2"

70,5"Reach75"

185 lbsWeight185 lbs

MiddleweightWeight ClassMiddleweight

Sam AlveySmile'n34-18-1

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Daniel Kelly owns a 64-point Elo edge (good). Daniel Kelly shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. 3 shared opponents give extra context.

Compare Daniel Kelly and Sam Alvey across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Daniel KellySam Alvey

Recent form

Daniel KellyL L L W W · -33 Elo last 5

LLLWW

Sam AlveyW L L L L · -44 Elo last 5

WLLLL

Elo edge

Daniel Kelly1701-19 last move

Sam Alvey1637+8 last move

Why they are ranked here

Daniel KellyNot on the active ladder · 1701 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Rashad Evans (rated 1708 at the time): +14.
Costliest loss: Lost to Derek Brunson (rated 1673 at the time): -25.
Last 5 fights: 2 wins, 3 losses, -33 Elo in total.
Inactivity: Placed on 1611, not 1701: 90 points are held back after more than 18 months without a fight, until the next one.

Sam AlveyNot on the active ladder · 1637 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Cameron Graham (rated 1475 at the time): +8.
Costliest loss: Lost to Julian Marquez (rated 1628 at the time): -17.
Last 5 fights: 1 win, 4 losses, -44 Elo in total.
Inactivity: Placed on 1569, not 1637: 68 points are held back after more than 18 months without a fight, until the next one.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

What's at stake

Daniel KellyNow 1701

Wins by decision+13→ 1714

Loses by decision-19→ 1682

Sam AlveyNow 1637

Wins by decision+14→ 1651

Loses by decision-10→ 1627

What-if simulatorPremium

Pick the winner and how the fight ends to see both new ratings, both new division ranks, and who each fighter would pass.

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Daniel KellyvsSam Alvey

Takedown average

1.86vs0.06

Takedown accuracy

34%vs14%

Submission average

0.31vs0.06

Sig. strikes absorbed per min

4.64vs3.63

Finishing profile

Daniel Kellysubmission leads 38% of wins

Sam AlveyKO/TKO leads 59% of wins

Common opponents

Rashad Evans Daniel Kelly: win · Decision · Mar 4, 2017Sam Alvey: win · Decision (Split) · Aug 5, 2017

Elias Theodorou Daniel Kelly: loss · Decision · Nov 18, 2017Sam Alvey: loss · Decision (Unanimous) · Jun 18, 2016

Derek BrunsonDaniel Kelly: loss · Punches · Jun 10, 2017Sam Alvey: loss · TKO (punches) · Aug 8, 2015

Tale of the tape

Daniel KellySam Alvey

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.62Sig. strikes landed per min3.28

UFC middleweight average : 3.94

39Sig. strike accuracy45

UFC middleweight average : 48%

4.64Sig. strikes absorbed per min3.63

UFC middleweight average : 3.82

62Sig. strike defense53

UFC middleweight average : 52%

1.86Takedown average0.06

UFC middleweight average : 1.62

34Takedown accuracy14

UFC middleweight average : 30%

79Takedown defense82

UFC middleweight average : 59%

0.31Submission average0.06

UFC middleweight average : 0.68

3Wins by knockout20

5Wins by submission3

5Wins by decision11

3Losses by knockout4

0Losses by submission3

1Losses by decision11

Daniel Kelly vs Sam Alvey is a scheduled Middleweight fight on UFC FIGHT NIGHT : MIOCIC VS HUNT. Daniel Kelly enters with a 13-4-0 record and Sam Alvey enters with a 34-18-1 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.