ZUFFA BOXING 12 : BILLAM-SMITH VS CLARKE

Denzel Bentley vs Shane Mosley Jr.

Nov 7, 2026 · PARAMOUNT+

Combat Edge model forecast52%Denzel Bentley48%Shane Mosley Jr.Full forecast and your pick

DateNov 7, 2026

DivisionMiddleweight

StatusScheduled

VenueCopper Box Arena

BroadcastPARAMOUNT+

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, November 7, 2026 — watch on PARAMOUNT+.

US East (ET): Sat 2:00 PM
US West (PT): Sat 11:00 AM
United Kingdom: Sat 7:00 PM
Central Europe: Sat 8:00 PM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 6:00 AM
Your time

Denzel Bentley2 Sharp |22-3-1Denzel Bentley vs Shane Mosley Jr.Shane Mosley Jr.22-4-0

Denzel Bentley2 Sharp22-3-1

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

22-3-1Record22-4-0

31Age35

5'11"Height6'1"

-Reach-

160 lbsWeight160 lbs

MiddleweightWeight ClassMiddleweight

Shane Mosley Jr.22-4-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

The Elo matchup is close or still provisional. Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Denzel Bentley and Shane Mosley Jr. across their careers →

Recent form

Denzel BentleyNo counted pro MMA fights yet

No recent Elo history

Shane Mosley Jr.No counted pro MMA fights yet

No recent Elo history

Elo edge

Denzel BentleyTBDTBD last move

Shane Mosley Jr.TBDTBD last move

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.8-2026-10-04

52%Denzel Bentley48%Shane Mosley Jr.

Model favoriteDenzel Bentley

Elo baseline50% for Denzel Bentley

Matchup adjustment+2 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Denzel BentleyStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model breaks Elo tie

Elo alone has this matchup at 50/50. The full matchup model separates the fighters and leans Denzel Bentley at 52%.

Current Elo ratingsNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

Recent opponent qualityNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

Elo record depthNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

Stat advantages

Denzel BentleyvsShane Mosley Jr.

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Denzel BentleyWin method split is limited

Shane Mosley Jr.Win method split is limited

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Denzel BentleyShane Mosley Jr.

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per minNot available

UFC middleweight average : 3.93

Not availableSig. strike accuracyNot available

UFC middleweight average : 48%

Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per minNot available

UFC middleweight average : 3.82

Not availableSig. strike defenseNot available

UFC middleweight average : 52%

Not availableTakedown averageNot available

UFC middleweight average : 1.62

Not availableTakedown accuracyNot available

UFC middleweight average : 30%

Not availableTakedown defenseNot available

UFC middleweight average : 59%

Not availableSubmission averageNot available

UFC middleweight average : 0.68

0Wins by knockout0

0Wins by submission0

0Wins by decision0

0Losses by knockout0

0Losses by submission0

0Losses by decision0

Denzel Bentley vs Shane Mosley Jr. is a scheduled Middleweight fight on ZUFFA BOXING 12 : BILLAM-SMITH VS CLARKE. Denzel Bentley enters with a 22-3-1 record and Shane Mosley Jr. enters with a 22-4-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.