ZUFFA BOXING 12 : BILLAM-SMITH VS CLARKE

Sam Hickey vs Troy Coleman

Nov 7, 2026 · PARAMOUNT+

Combat Edge model forecast56%Sam Hickey44%Troy ColemanFull forecast and your pick

DateNov 7, 2026

DivisionMiddleweight

StatusScheduled

VenueCopper Box Arena

BroadcastPARAMOUNT+

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, November 7, 2026 — watch on PARAMOUNT+.

US East (ET): Sat 2:00 PM
US West (PT): Sat 11:00 AM
United Kingdom: Sat 7:00 PM
Central Europe: Sat 8:00 PM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 6:00 AM
Your time

Sam HickeyTricky |6-0-0Sam Hickey vs Troy ColemanTroy ColemanThe Hawk |15-4-1

Sam HickeyTricky6-0-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

6-0-0Record15-4-1

26Age31

6'0"Height6'2"

-Reach-

160 lbsWeight160 lbs

MiddleweightWeight ClassMiddleweight

Troy ColemanThe Hawk15-4-1

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

The Elo matchup is close or still provisional. Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Sam Hickey and Troy Coleman across their careers →

Recent form

Sam HickeyNo counted pro MMA fights yet

No recent Elo history

Troy ColemanNo counted pro MMA fights yet

No recent Elo history

Elo edge

Sam HickeyTBDTBD last move

Troy ColemanTBDTBD last move

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.8-2026-10-04

56%Sam Hickey44%Troy Coleman

Model favoriteSam Hickey

Elo baseline50% for Sam Hickey

Matchup adjustment+6 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Sam HickeyStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model breaks Elo tie

Elo alone has this matchup at 50/50. The full matchup model separates the fighters and leans Sam Hickey at 56%.

Current Elo ratingsNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

Recent opponent qualityNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

Elo record depthNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

Stat advantages

Sam HickeyvsTroy Coleman

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Sam HickeyWin method split is limited

Troy ColemanWin method split is limited

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Sam HickeyTroy Coleman

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per minNot available

UFC middleweight average : 3.93

Not availableSig. strike accuracyNot available

UFC middleweight average : 48%

Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per minNot available

UFC middleweight average : 3.82

Not availableSig. strike defenseNot available

UFC middleweight average : 52%

Not availableTakedown averageNot available

UFC middleweight average : 1.62

Not availableTakedown accuracyNot available

UFC middleweight average : 30%

Not availableTakedown defenseNot available

UFC middleweight average : 59%

Not availableSubmission averageNot available

UFC middleweight average : 0.68

0Wins by knockout0

0Wins by submission0

0Wins by decision0

0Losses by knockout0

0Losses by submission0

0Losses by decision0

Sam Hickey vs Troy Coleman is a scheduled Middleweight fight on ZUFFA BOXING 12 : BILLAM-SMITH VS CLARKE. Sam Hickey enters with a 6-0-0 record and Troy Coleman enters with a 15-4-1 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.