ZUFFA BOXING 12 : BILLAM-SMITH VS CLARKE

Zach Parker vs Umar Dzambekov

Nov 7, 2026 · PARAMOUNT+

Combat Edge model forecast48%Zach Parker52%Umar DzambekovFull forecast and your pick

DateNov 7, 2026

DivisionLight Heavyweight

StatusScheduled

VenueCopper Box Arena

BroadcastPARAMOUNT+

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, November 7, 2026 — watch on PARAMOUNT+.

US East (ET): Sat 2:00 PM
US West (PT): Sat 11:00 AM
United Kingdom: Sat 7:00 PM
Central Europe: Sat 8:00 PM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 6:00 AM
Your time

Zach Parker26-2-0Zach Parker vs Umar DzambekovUmar Dzambekov14-0-0

Zach Parker26-2-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

26-2-0Record14-0-0

32Age28

6'0"Height6'1"

-Reach-

175 lbsWeight175 lbs

Light HeavyweightWeight ClassLight Heavyweight

Umar Dzambekov14-0-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

The Elo matchup is close or still provisional. Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Zach Parker and Umar Dzambekov across their careers →

Recent form

Zach ParkerNo counted pro MMA fights yet

No recent Elo history

Umar DzambekovNo counted pro MMA fights yet

No recent Elo history

Elo edge

Zach ParkerTBDTBD last move

Umar DzambekovTBDTBD last move

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.8-2026-10-04

48%Zach Parker52%Umar Dzambekov

Model favoriteUmar Dzambekov

Elo baseline50% for Umar Dzambekov

Matchup adjustment+2 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Umar DzambekovStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model breaks Elo tie

Elo alone has this matchup at 50/50. The full matchup model separates the fighters and leans Umar Dzambekov at 52%.

Current Elo ratingsNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

Recent opponent qualityNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

Elo record depthNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

Stat advantages

Zach ParkervsUmar Dzambekov

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Zach ParkerWin method split is limited

Umar DzambekovWin method split is limited

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Zach ParkerUmar Dzambekov

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per minNot available

UFC light heavyweight average : 4.00

Not availableSig. strike accuracyNot available

UFC light heavyweight average : 50%

Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per minNot available

UFC light heavyweight average : 3.73

Not availableSig. strike defenseNot available

UFC light heavyweight average : 51%

Not availableTakedown averageNot available

UFC light heavyweight average : 1.37

Not availableTakedown accuracyNot available

UFC light heavyweight average : 26%

Not availableTakedown defenseNot available

UFC light heavyweight average : 58%

Not availableSubmission averageNot available

UFC light heavyweight average : 0.59

0Wins by knockout0

0Wins by submission0

0Wins by decision0

0Losses by knockout0

0Losses by submission0

0Losses by decision0

Zach Parker vs Umar Dzambekov is a scheduled Light Heavyweight fight on ZUFFA BOXING 12 : BILLAM-SMITH VS CLARKE. Zach Parker enters with a 26-2-0 record and Umar Dzambekov enters with a 14-0-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.