Derek Brunson vs Elias Theodorou

May 5, 2019 · ESPN+

DateMay 5, 2019

DivisionMiddleweight

StatusScheduled

VenueCanadian Tire Centre

BroadcastESPN+

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Sunday, May 5, 2019 — watch on ESPN+.

US East (ET): Sun 7:00 PM
US West (PT): Sun 4:00 PM
United Kingdom: Mon 12:00 AM
Central Europe: Mon 1:00 AM
Australia (Sydney): Mon 9:00 AM
Your time

Derek BrunsonBlonde |24-9-0Derek Brunson vs Elias TheodorouElias TheodorouThe Spartan |19-3-0

Derek BrunsonBlonde24-9-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

24-9-0Record19-3-0

42Age38

6'1"Height6'1"

77,0"Reach75,5"

186 lbsWeight185 lbs

MiddleweightWeight ClassMiddleweight

Elias TheodorouThe Spartan19-3-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Elias Theodorou owns a 16-point Elo edge (great). Derek Brunson shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. 3 shared opponents give extra context.

Compare Derek Brunson and Elias Theodorou across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Derek BrunsonElias Theodorou

Recent form

Derek BrunsonW L L W W · +15 Elo last 5

WLLWW

Elias TheodorouW W W L W · +34 Elo last 5

WWWLW

Elo edge

Derek Brunson1756+12 last move

Elias Theodorou1772+14 last move

Why they are ranked here

Derek BrunsonNot on the active ladder · 1756 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Edmen Shahbazyan (rated 1742 at the time): +20.
Costliest loss: Lost to Jared Cannonier (rated 1683 at the time): -18.
Last 5 fights: 3 wins, 2 losses, +15 Elo in total.
Inactivity: Placed on 1706, not 1756: 50 points are held back after more than 18 months without a fight, until the next one.

Elias TheodorouNot on the active ladder · 1772 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Daniel Kelly (rated 1738 at the time): +17.
Costliest loss: Lost to Derek Brunson (rated 1684 at the time): -19.
Last 5 fights: 4 wins, 1 loss, +34 Elo in total.
Inactivity: Placed on 1682, not 1772: 90 points are held back after more than 18 months without a fight, until the next one.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

What's at stake

Derek BrunsonNow 1756

Wins by decision+13→ 1769

Loses by decision-11→ 1745

Elias TheodorouNow 1772

Wins by decision+15→ 1787

Loses by decision-17→ 1755

What-if simulatorPremium

Pick the winner and how the fight ends to see both new ratings, both new division ranks, and who each fighter would pass.

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Derek BrunsonvsElias Theodorou

Submission average

0.61vs0

Takedown average

3.14vs1.27

Takedown defense

86%vs59%

Sig. strikes absorbed per min

3.05vs2.39

Finishing profile

Derek BrunsonKO/TKO leads 50% of wins

Elias Theodoroudecision leads 53% of wins

Common opponents

Antônio Carlos JúniorDerek Brunson: cancelled · Cancelled Bout · Aug 4, 2018Elias Theodorou: cancelled · Dec 8, 2018

Antônio Carlos JúniorDerek Brunson: cancelled · Cancelled Bout · Aug 4, 2018Elias Theodorou: cancelled · Sep 22, 2018

Daniel KellyDerek Brunson: win · KO (Punch) · Jun 10, 2017Elias Theodorou: win · Decision · Nov 18, 2017

Tale of the tape

Derek BrunsonElias Theodorou

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.51Sig. strikes landed per min4.19

UFC middleweight average : 3.94

47Sig. strike accuracy42

UFC middleweight average : 48%

3.05Sig. strikes absorbed per min2.39

UFC middleweight average : 3.82

51Sig. strike defense53

UFC middleweight average : 52%

3.14Takedown average1.27

UFC middleweight average : 1.62

33Takedown accuracy28

UFC middleweight average : 30%

86Takedown defense59

UFC middleweight average : 59%

0.61Submission average0

UFC middleweight average : 0.68

12Wins by knockout8

4Wins by submission1

8Wins by decision10

7Losses by knockout0

0Losses by submission0

2Losses by decision3

Derek Brunson vs Elias Theodorou is a scheduled Middleweight fight on UFC FIGHT NIGHT : IAQUINTA VS COWBOY. Derek Brunson enters with a 24-9-0 record and Elias Theodorou enters with a 19-3-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.