Dovlet Yagshimuradov vs Simeon Powell

Jul 31, 2026 · ESPN 2

Combat Edge model forecast50%Dovlet Yagshimuradov50%Simeon PowellFull forecast

DateJul 31, 2026

DivisionFight card

StatusScheduled

VenueUBS Arena

BroadcastESPN 2

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Friday, July 31, 2026 — watch on ESPN 2.

US East (ET): Fri 7:00 PM
US West (PT): Fri 4:00 PM
United Kingdom: Sat 12:00 AM
Central Europe: Sat 1:00 AM
Australia (Sydney): Sat 9:00 AM
Your time

Dovlet YagshimuradovWolfhound |26-9-1Dovlet Yagshimuradov vs Simeon PowellSimeon PowellSmooth |13-2-0

Dovlet YagshimuradovWolfhound26-9-1

Fight Overview

Round3

Time5:00

26-9-1Record13-2-0

37Age27

5'11"Height6'4"

72"Reach85"

205 lbsWeight205 lbs

Fight cardWeight ClassFight card

Simeon PowellSmooth13-2-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Dovlet Yagshimuradov owns a 28-point Elo edge (good). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. 2 shared opponents give extra context.

Compare Dovlet Yagshimuradov and Simeon Powell across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Dovlet YagshimuradovSimeon Powell

Recent form

Dovlet YagshimuradovL W L W W · +18 Elo last 5

LWLWW

Simeon PowellW W L W W · +45 Elo last 5

WWLWW

Elo edge

Dovlet Yagshimuradov1713-12 last move

Simeon Powell1685+16 last move

Why they are ranked here

Dovlet Yagshimuradov#24 of 162 active Light Heavyweight fighters · 1713 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Impa Kasanganay (rated 1751 at the time): +16.
Costliest loss: Lost to Simeon Powell (rated 1669 at the time): -12.
Last 5 fights: 3 wins, 2 losses, +18 Elo in total.
Next places: 6 points behind #23 Bogdan Guskov, 0 ahead of #25 Muhammad Saidov.

Simeon Powell#40 of 162 active Light Heavyweight fighters · 1685 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Emiliano Sordi (rated 1644 at the time): +19.
Costliest loss: Lost to Jakob Nedoh (rated 1500 at the time): -43.
Last 5 fights: 4 wins, 1 loss, +45 Elo in total.
Next places: 1 point behind #39 Uran Satybaldiev, 1 ahead of #41 Philipe Lins.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.5-2026-07-01

50%Dovlet Yagshimuradov50%Simeon Powell

Model favoriteDovlet Yagshimuradov

Elo baseline58% for Dovlet Yagshimuradov

Matchup adjustment-8 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Dovlet YagshimuradovStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Even forecast

The full model has this matchup at 50/50, while Elo alone leans Dovlet Yagshimuradov at 58%.

Current Elo ratings1713 · 1685Dovlet Yagshimuradov leads by 28 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1652 · 1567Dovlet Yagshimuradov faced the stronger recent schedule (10 vs 10 sampled fights).

Elo record depth36 · 15 fightsDovlet Yagshimuradov has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

What's at stake

Dovlet YagshimuradovNow 1713 · #24 Light Heavyweight

Wins by decision+11→ 1724

Loses by decision-13→ 1700

Simeon PowellNow 1685 · #40 Light Heavyweight

Wins by decision+17→ 1702

Loses by decision-15→ 1670

What-if simulatorPremium

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Dovlet YagshimuradovvsSimeon Powell

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Dovlet YagshimuradovKO/TKO leads 54% of wins

Simeon PowellKO/TKO leads 46% of wins

Common opponents

Karl AlbrektssonDovlet Yagshimuradov: loss · Decision (Unanimous) · Oct 16, 2021Simeon Powell: win · TKO (Elbows and Punches) · May 1, 2025

Jakob NedohDovlet Yagshimuradov: win · TKO (Punches) · Apr 12, 2024Simeon Powell: loss · TKO (Punches and Elbow) · Dec 8, 2023

Tale of the tape

Dovlet YagshimuradovSimeon Powell

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per minNot available

UFC light heavyweight average : 4.00

Not availableSig. strike accuracyNot available

UFC light heavyweight average : 50%

Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per minNot available

UFC light heavyweight average : 3.73

Not availableSig. strike defenseNot available

UFC light heavyweight average : 51%

Not availableTakedown averageNot available

UFC light heavyweight average : 1.37

Not availableTakedown accuracyNot available

UFC light heavyweight average : 26%

Not availableTakedown defenseNot available

UFC light heavyweight average : 58%

Not availableSubmission averageNot available

UFC light heavyweight average : 0.59

14Wins by knockout6

4Wins by submission3

8Wins by decision4

2Losses by knockout1

3Losses by submission0

4Losses by decision1

Dovlet Yagshimuradov vs Simeon Powell is a scheduled Fight card fight on PFL NEW YORK : NURMAGOMEDOV VS COLGAN. Dovlet Yagshimuradov enters with a 26-9-1 record and Simeon Powell enters with a 13-2-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.