Gary Rooney vs Tom Creasey

DateSep 26, 2026

DivisionFlyweight

StatusScheduled

VenueRDS Arena

BroadcastUFC FIGHT PASS

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, September 26, 2026 — watch on UFC FIGHT PASS.

US East (ET): Sat 12:00 PM
US West (PT): Sat 9:00 AM
United Kingdom: Sat 5:00 PM
Central Europe: Sat 6:00 PM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 2:00 AM
Your time

Gary RooneySqueaky |4-1-0Gary Rooney vs Tom CreaseyTom CreaseyThe Boom |6-2-0

Gary RooneySqueaky4-1-0

Fight Overview

Round3

Time5:00

4-1-0Record6-2-0

27Age35

5'3"Height5'7"

-Reach-

126 lbsWeight126 lbs

FlyweightWeight ClassFlyweight

Tom CreaseyThe Boom6-2-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Tom Creasey owns a 13-point Elo edge (solid). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Gary Rooney and Tom Creasey across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Gary RooneyTom Creasey

Recent form

Gary RooneyW W L W W · +76 Elo last 5

WWLWW

Tom CreaseyW L W W W · +57 Elo last 5

WLWWW

Elo edge

Gary Rooney1576+22 last move

Tom Creasey1589+23 last move

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.7-2026-08-28

62%Gary Rooney38%Tom Creasey

Model favoriteGary Rooney

Elo baseline48% for Gary Rooney

Matchup adjustment+14 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Gary RooneyStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model flips Elo

The full model flips the Elo-only lean: Gary Rooney is 62%, after Elo alone favored Tom Creasey at 52%.

Current Elo ratings1576 · 1589Tom Creasey leads by 13 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1494 · 1485Gary Rooney faced the stronger recent schedule (5 vs 8 sampled fights).

Elo record depth5 · 8 fightsTom Creasey has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

Stat advantages

Gary RooneyvsTom Creasey

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Gary Rooneysubmission leads 75% of wins

Tom CreaseyKO/TKO leads 50% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Gary RooneyTom Creasey

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per minNot available

UFC flyweight average : 3.94

Not availableSig. strike accuracyNot available

UFC flyweight average : 44%

Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per minNot available

UFC flyweight average : 3.86

Not availableSig. strike defenseNot available

UFC flyweight average : 55%

Not availableTakedown averageNot available

UFC flyweight average : 1.44

Not availableTakedown accuracyNot available

UFC flyweight average : 27%

Not availableTakedown defenseNot available

UFC flyweight average : 57%

Not availableSubmission averageNot available

UFC flyweight average : 0.60

1Wins by knockout3

3Wins by submission0

0Wins by decision2

0Losses by knockout0

0Losses by submission0

1Losses by decision2

Gary Rooney vs Tom Creasey is a scheduled Flyweight fight on CAGE WARRIORS 210 : MCCORRY VS SOUSA. Gary Rooney enters with a 4-1-0 record and Tom Creasey enters with a 6-2-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.