Goga Shamatava vs Dzhaddal Alibekov

Sep 12, 2026

Combat Edge model forecast21%Goga Shamatava79%Dzhaddal AlibekovFull forecast

DateSep 12, 2026

DivisionFight card

StatusScheduled

VenueBasket Hall

BroadcastNetwork TBD

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, September 12, 2026.

US East (ET): Sat 8:00 AM
US West (PT): Sat 5:00 AM
United Kingdom: Sat 1:00 PM
Central Europe: Sat 2:00 PM
Australia (Sydney): Sat 10:00 PM
Your time

Goga Shamatava21-14-0Goga Shamatava vs Dzhaddal AlibekovDzhaddal Alibekov11-3-0

Goga Shamatava21-14-0

Fight Overview

Round3

Time5:00

21-14-0Record11-3-0

35Age30

5'6"Height5'10"

-Reach71"

135 lbsWeight137 lbs

Fight cardWeight ClassFight card

Dzhaddal Alibekov11-3-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Dzhaddal Alibekov owns a 47-point Elo edge (solid). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Goga Shamatava and Dzhaddal Alibekov across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Goga ShamatavaDzhaddal Alibekov

Recent form

Goga ShamatavaL L L W W · -22 Elo last 5

LLLWW

Dzhaddal AlibekovL W L L W · -35 Elo last 5

LWLLW

Elo edge

Goga Shamatava1588-13 last move

Dzhaddal Alibekov1635-15 last move

Why they are ranked here

Goga Shamatava#224 of 361 active Bantamweight fighters · 1588 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Dzhaddal Alibekov (rated 1656 at the time): +14.
Costliest loss: Lost to Josiel Silva (rated 1587 at the time): -16.
Last 5 fights: 2 wins, 3 losses, -22 Elo in total.
Next places: 1 point behind #223 Nicolas Mandiola, 0 ahead of #225 Šimon Bruknar.

Dzhaddal Alibekov#178 of 407 active Featherweight fighters · 1635 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Elaman Childebay (rated 1500 at the time): +23.
Costliest loss: Lost to Igor Zhirkov (rated 1532 at the time): -22.
Last 5 fights: 2 wins, 3 losses, -35 Elo in total.
Next places: 2 points behind #177 Mehdi Saadi, 0 ahead of #179 Morgan Charrière.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.7-2026-08-28

21%Goga Shamatava79%Dzhaddal Alibekov

Model favoriteDzhaddal Alibekov

Elo baseline57% for Dzhaddal Alibekov

Matchup adjustment+22 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Dzhaddal AlibekovStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model + Elo agree

Dzhaddal Alibekov leads the full model at 79%. Elo agrees, and the complete matchup model strengthens that lean by 22 points.

Current Elo ratings1588 · 1635Dzhaddal Alibekov leads by 47 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1546 · 1537Goga Shamatava faced the stronger recent schedule (10 vs 10 sampled fights).

Elo record depth37 · 15 fightsGoga Shamatava has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

What's at stake

Goga ShamatavaNow 1588 · #224 Bantamweight

Wins by decision+14→ 1602

Loses by decision-10→ 1578

Dzhaddal AlibekovNow 1635 · #178 Featherweight

Wins by decision+14→ 1649

Loses by decision-18→ 1617

What-if simulatorPremium

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Goga ShamatavavsDzhaddal Alibekov

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Goga ShamatavaKO/TKO leads 43% of wins

Dzhaddal AlibekovKO/TKO leads 45% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Goga ShamatavaDzhaddal Alibekov

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per minNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 3.72

Not availableSig. strike accuracyNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 45%

Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per minNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 3.75

Not availableSig. strike defenseNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 54%

Not availableTakedown averageNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 1.52

Not availableTakedown accuracyNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 26%

Not availableTakedown defenseNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 61%

Not availableSubmission averageNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 0.52

9Wins by knockout5

6Wins by submission4

6Wins by decision2

2Losses by knockout0

2Losses by submission0

10Losses by decision3

Goga Shamatava vs Dzhaddal Alibekov is a scheduled Fight card fight on ACA 207 : GONCHAROV VS ALMEIDA. Goga Shamatava enters with a 21-14-0 record and Dzhaddal Alibekov enters with a 11-3-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.