Gunnar Nelson vs Santiago Ponzinibbio

Jul 16, 2017 · ESPN+

DateJul 16, 2017

DivisionWelterweight

StatusScheduled

VenueThe SSE Hydro

BroadcastESPN+

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Sunday, July 16, 2017 — watch on ESPN+.

US East (ET): Sun 2:00 PM
US West (PT): Sun 11:00 AM
United Kingdom: Sun 7:00 PM
Central Europe: Sun 8:00 PM
Australia (Sydney): Mon 4:00 AM
Your time

Gunnar NelsonGunni |19-6-1Gunnar Nelson vs Santiago PonzinibbioSantiago PonzinibbioArgentine Dagger |30-10-0

Gunnar NelsonGunni19-6-1

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

19-6-1Record30-10-0

38Age40

5'11"Height6'0"

72"Reach73″

170 lbsWeight170 lbs

WelterweightWeight ClassWelterweight

Santiago PonzinibbioArgentine Dagger30-10-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Gunnar Nelson owns a 12-point Elo edge (good). Gunnar Nelson shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. 3 shared opponents give extra context.

Compare Gunnar Nelson and Santiago Ponzinibbio across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Gunnar NelsonSantiago Ponzinibbio

Recent form

Gunnar NelsonL W W L L · -11 Elo last 5

LWWLL

Santiago PonzinibbioL L W L L · -43 Elo last 5

LLWLL

Elo edge

Gunnar Nelson1710-16 last move

Santiago Ponzinibbio1698-14 last move

Why they are ranked here

Gunnar Nelson#65 of 356 active Welterweight fighters · 1710 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Albert Tumenov (rated 1738 at the time): +28.
Costliest loss: Lost to Demian Maia (rated 1734 at the time): -22.
Last 5 fights: 2 wins, 3 losses, -11 Elo in total.
Next places: 2 points behind #64 Taiyilake Nueraji, 2 ahead of #66 Andrey Koshkin.

Santiago Ponzinibbio#76 of 356 active Welterweight fighters · 1698 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Alex Morono (rated 1749 at the time): +21.
Costliest loss: Lost to Jingliang Li (rated 1714 at the time): -22.
Last 5 fights: 1 win, 4 losses, -43 Elo in total.
Next places: 0 points behind #75 Felix Klinkhammer, 3 ahead of #77 Amin Ayoub.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

What's at stake

Gunnar NelsonNow 1710 · #65 Welterweight

Wins by decision+15→ 1725

Loses by decision-17→ 1693

Santiago PonzinibbioNow 1698 · #76 Welterweight

Wins by decision+12→ 1710

Loses by decision-12→ 1686

What-if simulatorPremium

Pick the winner and how the fight ends to see both new ratings, both new division ranks, and who each fighter would pass.

The simulator is part of Combat Edge Premium, with zero ads, 30 Ask Stats questions a month and CSV exports.

Go Premium to run it

Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Gunnar NelsonvsSantiago Ponzinibbio

Submission average

1vs0

Takedown accuracy

52%vs12%

Takedown average

2vs0.60

Sig. strikes landed per min

1.77vs4.78

Finishing profile

Gunnar Nelsonsubmission leads 68% of wins

Santiago PonzinibbioKO/TKO leads 57% of wins

Common opponents

Daniel Rodriguez Gunnar Nelson: cancelled · Cancelled Bout · Mar 18, 2023 Santiago Ponzinibbio: loss · TKO (punches) · May 3, 2025

Daniel Rodriguez Gunnar Nelson: cancelled · Cancelled Bout · Mar 18, 2023Santiago Ponzinibbio: cancelled · Cancelled Bout · Sep 16, 2023

Kevin Holland Gunnar Nelson: loss · Decision (Unanimous) · Mar 22, 2025 Santiago Ponzinibbio: loss · KO (punch) · Apr 8, 2023

Tale of the tape

Gunnar NelsonSantiago Ponzinibbio

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

1.77Sig. strikes landed per min4.78

UFC welterweight average : 3.66

61Sig. strike accuracy42

UFC welterweight average : 46%

3.06Sig. strikes absorbed per min4.68

UFC welterweight average : 3.84

49Sig. strike defense62

UFC welterweight average : 53%

2Takedown average0.60

UFC welterweight average : 1.41

52Takedown accuracy12

UFC welterweight average : 30%

68Takedown defense71

UFC welterweight average : 59%

1Submission average0

UFC welterweight average : 0.54

4Wins by knockout17

13Wins by submission6

2Wins by decision7

1Losses by knockout6

0Losses by submission0

5Losses by decision4

Gunnar Nelson vs Santiago Ponzinibbio is a scheduled Welterweight fight on UFC FIGHT NIGHT : NELSON VS PONZINIBBIO. Gunnar Nelson enters with a 19-6-1 record and Santiago Ponzinibbio enters with a 30-10-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.