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ARES FC 45 : ZÉBO VS BAKI 2

Jordan Zébo vs Baysangur Chamsoudinov

DateNov 20, 2026
StatusScheduled
VenueAdidas Arena
BroadcastUFC Fight Pass
Start times & how to watch
Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Friday, November 20, 2026 — watch on UFC Fight Pass.

US East (ET)
Fri 1:00 PM
US West (PT)
Fri 10:00 AM
United Kingdom
Fri 6:00 PM
Central Europe
Fri 7:00 PM
Australia (Sydney)
Sat 5:00 AM
Jordan ZéboLe Fauve |11-1-0Jordan Zébo vs Baysangur ChamsoudinovBaysangur ChamsoudinovBaki |9-1-0
frJordan ZéboLe Fauve11-1-0Jordan Zébo
Elo1690Good
3Y trend1569 → 1690
2023-09-30: 15692024-03-08: 15852024-06-14: 15992024-11-23: 16142025-05-16: 16352025-10-18: 16692026-01-30: 16772026-07-03: 1690
fr

Fight Overview

Round5
Time5:00
11-1-0Record9-1-0
26Age25
5'9"Height5'10"
71"Reach73"
173 lbsWeight170 lbs
Welterweight TITLE FIGHTWeight ClassWelterweight TITLE FIGHT
frBaysangur ChamsoudinovBaki9-1-0frBaysangur Chamsoudinov
Elo1665Good
3Y trend1630 → 1665
2023-01-20: 16302023-06-23: 16582024-03-07: 16842025-05-16: 16992025-10-18: 1665
Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Jordan Zébo owns a 25-point Elo edge (good). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. 2 shared opponents give extra context.

Compare Jordan Zébo and Baysangur Chamsoudinov across their careers →

Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Jordan ZéboBaysangur Chamsoudinov
1550160016501700202420252026

Recent form

Jordan ZéboW W W W W · +90 Elo last 5
WWWWW
Baysangur ChamsoudinovL W W W W · +53 Elo last 5
LWWWW

Elo edge

Jordan Zébo1690+13 last move
Baysangur Chamsoudinov1665-34 last move
Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.7-2026-08-28
54%Jordan Zébo46%Baysangur Chamsoudinov
Model favoriteJordan Zébo
Elo baseline54% for Jordan Zébo
Matchup adjustment0 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Jordan ZéboStake

Sponsored — betting partner link. 19+ (18+ where permitted). Please play responsibly.

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model + Elo agree

Jordan Zébo leads the full model at 54%. Elo agrees, and the complete matchup model strengthens that lean by 1 point.

Current Elo ratings1690 · 1665Jordan Zébo leads by 25 rating points.
Recent opponent quality1536 · 1541Baysangur Chamsoudinov faced the stronger recent schedule (10 vs 10 sampled fights).
Elo record depth12 · 10 fightsJordan Zébo has the deeper counted Elo history.
Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.
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Stat advantages

Jordan ZébovsBaysangur Chamsoudinov

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Jordan Zébodecision leads 64% of wins
Baysangur ChamsoudinovKO/TKO leads 56% of wins

Common opponents

Cédric DoumbéJordan Zébo: loss · KO (Punch) · Sep 30, 2023Baysangur Chamsoudinov: win · TKO (Toe Injury) · Mar 7, 2024
Mickael Marie SardiJordan Zébo: win · TKO (Head Kick) · May 11, 2023Baysangur Chamsoudinov: win · Decision (Unanimous) · May 20, 2022

Tale of the tape

Jordan ZéboBaysangur Chamsoudinov

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per minNot available
UFC middleweight average : 3.80
Not availableSig. strike accuracyNot available
UFC middleweight average : 48%
Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per minNot available
UFC middleweight average : 3.81
Not availableSig. strike defenseNot available
UFC middleweight average : 52%
Not availableTakedown averageNot available
UFC middleweight average : 1.69
Not availableTakedown accuracyNot available
UFC middleweight average : 31%
Not availableTakedown defenseNot available
UFC middleweight average : 58%
Not availableSubmission averageNot available
UFC middleweight average : 0.65
2Wins by knockout5
2Wins by submission0
7Wins by decision4
1Losses by knockout1
0Losses by submission0
0Losses by decision0

Jordan Zébo vs Baysangur Chamsoudinov is a scheduled Welterweight TITLE FIGHT fight on ARES FC 45 : ZÉBO VS BAKI 2. Jordan Zébo enters with a 11-1-0 record and Baysangur Chamsoudinov enters with a 9-1-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.

Jordan Zébo vs Baysangur Chamsoudinov quick answers

When is Jordan Zébo vs Baysangur Chamsoudinov?

Jordan Zébo vs Baysangur Chamsoudinov is listed for ARES FC 45 : ZÉBO VS BAKI 2 on Nov 20, 2026 at 1:00 PM EST.

What event is Jordan Zébo vs Baysangur Chamsoudinov on?

Jordan Zébo vs Baysangur Chamsoudinov is listed on ARES FC 45 : ZÉBO VS BAKI 2.

What are the records for Jordan Zébo vs Baysangur Chamsoudinov?

Jordan Zébo enters with a 11-1-0 record and Baysangur Chamsoudinov enters with a 9-1-0 record.

What division is Jordan Zébo vs Baysangur Chamsoudinov?

Jordan Zébo vs Baysangur Chamsoudinov is listed as a Welterweight TITLE FIGHT fight.

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