Liz Carmouche vs Lauren Murphy

Apr 4, 2015 · ESPN+

DateApr 4, 2015

DivisionWomen's Bantamweight

StatusScheduled

VenueEagleBank Arena

BroadcastESPN+

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, April 4, 2015 — watch on ESPN+.

US East (ET): Sat 6:00 AM
US West (PT): Sat 3:00 AM
United Kingdom: Sat 11:00 AM
Central Europe: Sat 12:00 PM
Australia (Sydney): Sat 9:00 PM
Your time

Liz CarmoucheGirl-Rilla |26-8-0Liz Carmouche vs Lauren MurphyLauren MurphyLucky |16-7-0

Liz CarmoucheGirl-Rilla26-8-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

26-8-0Record16-7-0

42Age43

5'6"Height5'7"

66"Reach67"

125 lbsWeight125 lbs

Women's BantamweightWeight ClassWomen's Bantamweight

Lauren MurphyLucky16-7-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Liz Carmouche owns a 100-point Elo edge (great). Liz Carmouche shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. 3 shared opponents give extra context.

Compare Liz Carmouche and Lauren Murphy across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Liz CarmoucheLauren Murphy

Recent form

Liz CarmoucheW W W W L · +27 Elo last 5

WWWWL

Lauren MurphyL L W L L · -38 Elo last 5

LLWLL

Elo edge

Liz Carmouche1751+10 last move

Lauren Murphy1651-14 last move

Why they are ranked here

Liz Carmouche#6 of 80 active Women Flyweight fighters · 1751 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Juliana Velasquez (rated 1586 at the time): +15.
Costliest loss: Lost to Taila Santos (rated 1736 at the time): -12.
Last 5 fights: 4 wins, 1 loss, +27 Elo in total.
Next places: 9 points behind #5 Natália Silva, 16 ahead of #7 Manon Fiorot.

Lauren Murphy#25 of 80 active Women Flyweight fighters · 1651 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Liliya Shakirova (rated 1647 at the time): +19.
Costliest loss: Lost to Eduarda Moura (rated 1711 at the time): -14.
Last 5 fights: 1 win, 4 losses, -38 Elo in total.
Next places: 0 points behind #24 JJ Aldrich, 1 ahead of #26 Shannon Clark.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

What's at stake

Liz CarmoucheNow 1751 · #6 Women Flyweight

Wins by decision+9→ 1760

Loses by decision-15→ 1736

Lauren MurphyNow 1651 · #25 Women Flyweight

Wins by decision+20→ 1671

Loses by decision-12→ 1639

What-if simulatorPremium

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Liz CarmouchevsLauren Murphy

Takedown average

2.57vs1.03

Sig. strikes absorbed per min

2.51vs5.25

Sig. strikes landed per min

2.78vs4.05

Sig. strike accuracy

54%vs39%

Finishing profile

Liz CarmoucheKO/TKO leads 42% of wins

Lauren MurphyKO/TKO leads 50% of wins

Common opponents

Jéssica Andrade Liz Carmouche: win · TKO (Punches and Elbows) · Jul 27, 2013 Lauren Murphy: loss · Decision (Unanimous) · Jan 21, 2023

Miesha Tate Liz Carmouche: loss · Decision (Unanimous) · Apr 19, 2014 Lauren Murphy: win · Decision (Unanimous) · Jul 16, 2022

Miesha Tate Liz Carmouche: loss · Decision (Unanimous) · Apr 19, 2014Lauren Murphy: cancelled · Cancelled Bout · Jul 2, 2022

Tale of the tape

Liz CarmoucheLauren Murphy

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.78Sig. strikes landed per min4.05

UFC flyweight average : 3.95

54Sig. strike accuracy39

UFC flyweight average : 44%

2.51Sig. strikes absorbed per min5.25

UFC flyweight average : 3.88

62Sig. strike defense55

UFC flyweight average : 55%

2.57Takedown average1.03

UFC flyweight average : 1.44

34Takedown accuracy25

UFC flyweight average : 26%

66Takedown defense70

UFC flyweight average : 57%

0.31Submission average0.07

UFC flyweight average : 0.61

11Wins by knockout8

7Wins by submission1

8Wins by decision7

0Losses by knockout1

2Losses by submission0

6Losses by decision6

Liz Carmouche vs Lauren Murphy is a scheduled Women's Bantamweight fight on UFC FIGHT NIGHT : MENDES VS LAMAS. Liz Carmouche enters with a 26-8-0 record and Lauren Murphy enters with a 16-7-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.