Michael Chiesa vs Mitch Clarke

Apr 4, 2015 · ESPN+

DateApr 4, 2015

DivisionLightweight

StatusScheduled

VenueEagleBank Arena

BroadcastESPN+

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, April 4, 2015 — watch on ESPN+.

US East (ET): Sat 6:00 AM
US West (PT): Sat 3:00 AM
United Kingdom: Sat 11:00 AM
Central Europe: Sat 12:00 PM
Australia (Sydney): Sat 9:00 PM
Your time

Michael ChiesaMaverick |20-7-0Michael Chiesa vs Mitch ClarkeMitch ClarkeDanger Zone |11-5-0

Michael ChiesaMaverick20-7-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

20-7-0Record11-5-0

38Age40

6'1"Height5'10"

75"Reach73,0"

170 lbsWeight154 lbs

LightweightWeight ClassLightweight

Mitch ClarkeDanger Zone11-5-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Michael Chiesa owns a 157-point Elo edge (great). Michael Chiesa shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. 2 shared opponents give extra context.

Compare Michael Chiesa and Mitch Clarke across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Michael ChiesaMitch Clarke

Recent form

Michael ChiesaW W W W L · +35 Elo last 5

WWWWL

Mitch ClarkeL L L W W · -19 Elo last 5

LLLWW

Elo edge

Michael Chiesa1757+10 last move

Mitch Clarke1600-22 last move

Why they are ranked here

Michael Chiesa#27 of 356 active Welterweight fighters · 1757 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Max Griffin (rated 1707 at the time): +18.
Costliest loss: Lost to Vicente Luque (rated 1744 at the time): -20.
Last 5 fights: 4 wins, 1 loss, +35 Elo in total.
Next places: 2 points behind #26 Ramazan Emeev, 2 ahead of #28 Joaquin Buckley.

Mitch ClarkeNot on the active ladder · 1600 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Al Iaquinta (rated 1635 at the time): +20.
Costliest loss: Lost to John Cholish (rated 1653 at the time): -31.
Last 5 fights: 2 wins, 3 losses, -19 Elo in total.
Inactivity: Placed on 1510, not 1600: 90 points are held back after more than 18 months without a fight, until the next one.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

What's at stake

Michael ChiesaNow 1757 · #27 Welterweight

Wins by decision+7→ 1764

Loses by decision-17→ 1740

Mitch ClarkeNow 1600

Wins by decision+23→ 1623

Loses by decision-9→ 1591

What-if simulatorPremium

Pick the winner and how the fight ends to see both new ratings, both new division ranks, and who each fighter would pass.

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Michael ChiesavsMitch Clarke

Takedown average

3.05vs0.64

Takedown accuracy

48%vs15%

Submission average

0.97vs0.43

Sig. strikes absorbed per min

1.73vs3.27

Finishing profile

Michael Chiesasubmission leads 65% of wins

Mitch Clarkesubmission leads 64% of wins

Common opponents

Al IaquintaMichael Chiesa: win · Submission (Rear Naked Choke) · Jun 1, 2012Mitch Clarke: win · D'arce Choke · May 24, 2014

Anton Kuivanen Michael Chiesa: win · Submission (Rear Naked Choke) · Feb 23, 2013 Mitch Clarke: loss · Decision · Jul 21, 2012

Tale of the tape

Michael ChiesaMitch Clarke

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.03Sig. strikes landed per min2.35

UFC welterweight average : 3.66

41Sig. strike accuracy34

UFC welterweight average : 46%

1.73Sig. strikes absorbed per min3.27

UFC welterweight average : 3.84

58Sig. strike defense48

UFC welterweight average : 53%

3.05Takedown average0.64

UFC welterweight average : 1.41

48Takedown accuracy15

UFC welterweight average : 30%

68Takedown defense50

UFC welterweight average : 59%

0.97Submission average0.43

UFC welterweight average : 0.54

0Wins by knockout1

13Wins by submission7

7Wins by decision3

1Losses by knockout2

5Losses by submission1

1Losses by decision2

Michael Chiesa vs Mitch Clarke is a scheduled Lightweight fight on UFC FIGHT NIGHT : MENDES VS LAMAS. Michael Chiesa enters with a 20-7-0 record and Mitch Clarke enters with a 11-5-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.