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CAGE WARRIORS 213 : BAGLEY VS SOUZA

Marin Vetrila vs Stefano Catacoli

Nov 14, 2026 · UFC Fight Pass
Pick'em vs the modelWho wins this fight?Make your pick
DateNov 14, 2026
DivisionLightweight
StatusScheduled
VenueBBC Studioworks Television Centre
BroadcastUFC Fight Pass
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Start times & how to watch
Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, November 14, 2026 — watch on UFC Fight Pass.

US East (ET)
Sat 12:00 PM
US West (PT)
Sat 9:00 AM
United Kingdom
Sat 5:00 PM
Central Europe
Sat 6:00 PM
Australia (Sydney)
Sun 4:00 AM
Marin VetrilaLion Puncher |8-1-0Marin Vetrila vs Stefano CatacoliStefano CatacoliThe Ghost |10-4-0
mdMarin VetrilaLion Puncher8-1-0Marin Vetrila
Elo1671Good
3Y trend1526 → 1671
2023-07-01: 15262024-03-02: 15532024-05-18: 15772024-09-20: 15962025-11-15: 16242026-03-20: 16452026-06-20: 1671
md

Fight Overview

RoundTBD
TimeTBD
8-1-0Record10-4-0
26Age27
5'11"Height5'10"
-ReachTBD
162 lbsWeight155 lbs
LightweightWeight ClassLightweight
gb-engStefano CatacoliThe Ghost10-4-0gb-engStefano Catacoli
Elo1568Solid
3Y trend1610 → 1568
2023-12-09: 16102024-04-20: 15842024-04-20: 15512024-06-01: 15672024-09-28: 15482025-04-13: 15262025-09-13: 15482026-03-20: 1568
Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Marin Vetrila owns a 103-point Elo edge (good). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Marin Vetrila and Stefano Catacoli across their careers →

Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Marin VetrilaStefano Catacoli
155016001650202420252026

Recent form

Marin VetrilaW W W W W · +118 Elo last 5
WWWWW
Stefano CatacoliW W L L W · +17 Elo last 5
WWLLW

Elo edge

Marin Vetrila1671+26 last move
Stefano Catacoli1568+20 last move

Why they are ranked here

Marin Vetrila#101 of 383 active Welterweight fighters · 1671 Elo
Biggest gain
Beat Daniel Crooks-May (rated 1500 at the time): +29.
Costliest loss
Lost to El Hadji Ndiaye (rated 1478 at the time): -29.
Last 5 fights
5 wins, 0 losses, +118 Elo in total.
Next places
1 point behind #100 Ronald Paradeiser, 1 ahead of #102 David Kozma.
Stefano Catacoli#327 of 459 active Lightweight fighters · 1568 Elo
Biggest gain
Beat Alexander Lööf (rated 1580 at the time): +22.
Costliest loss
Lost to Shem Rock (rated 1527 at the time): -34.
Last 5 fights
3 wins, 2 losses, +17 Elo in total.
Next places
0 points behind #326 Joseph Donkor, 1 ahead of #328 Nick Hrabec.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

What's at stake

Marin VetrilaNow 1671 · #101 Welterweight
Wins by decision+17→ 1688
Loses by decision-31→ 1640
Stefano CatacoliNow 1568 · #327 Lightweight
Wins by decision+21→ 1589
Loses by decision-11→ 1557
What-if simulatorPremium

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

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Stat advantages

Marin VetrilavsStefano Catacoli

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Marin VetrilaKO/TKO leads 75% of wins
Stefano Catacolidecision leads 60% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Marin VetrilaStefano Catacoli

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per minNot available
UFC welterweight average : 3.65
Not availableSig. strike accuracyNot available
UFC welterweight average : 46%
Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per minNot available
UFC welterweight average : 3.83
Not availableSig. strike defenseNot available
UFC welterweight average : 54%
Not availableTakedown averageNot available
UFC welterweight average : 1.46
Not availableTakedown accuracyNot available
UFC welterweight average : 30%
Not availableTakedown defenseNot available
UFC welterweight average : 59%
Not availableSubmission averageNot available
UFC welterweight average : 0.53
6Wins by knockout1
2Wins by submission3
0Wins by decision6
0Losses by knockout1
0Losses by submission3
1Losses by decision0

Marin Vetrila vs Stefano Catacoli is a scheduled Lightweight fight on CAGE WARRIORS 213 : BAGLEY VS SOUZA. Marin Vetrila enters with a 8-1-0 record and Stefano Catacoli enters with a 10-4-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.

Marin Vetrila vs Stefano Catacoli quick answers

When is Marin Vetrila vs Stefano Catacoli?

Marin Vetrila vs Stefano Catacoli is listed for CAGE WARRIORS 213 : BAGLEY VS SOUZA on Nov 14, 2026 at 12:00 PM EST.

What event is Marin Vetrila vs Stefano Catacoli on?

Marin Vetrila vs Stefano Catacoli is listed on CAGE WARRIORS 213 : BAGLEY VS SOUZA.

What are the records for Marin Vetrila vs Stefano Catacoli?

Marin Vetrila enters with a 8-1-0 record and Stefano Catacoli enters with a 10-4-0 record.

What division is Marin Vetrila vs Stefano Catacoli?

Marin Vetrila vs Stefano Catacoli is listed as a Lightweight fight.

Full fight card
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