Nik Bagley vs Bruno Souza

Nov 14, 2026 · UFC Fight Pass

Pick'em vs the modelWho wins this fight?Make your pick

DateNov 14, 2026

DivisionFeatherweight World Championship

StatusScheduled

VenueBBC Studioworks Television Centre

BroadcastUFC Fight Pass

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, November 14, 2026 — watch on UFC Fight Pass.

US East (ET): Sat 12:00 PM
US West (PT): Sat 9:00 AM
United Kingdom: Sat 5:00 PM
Central Europe: Sat 6:00 PM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 4:00 AM
Your time

Nik BagleyThe Perfectionist |9-1-0Nik Bagley vs Bruno SouzaBruno SouzaThe Tiger |16-4-0

Nik BagleyThe Perfectionist9-1-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

9-1-0Record16-4-0

29Age30

5'8"Height5'10"

-Reach70"

146 lbsWeight145 lbs

Featherweight World ChampionshipWeight ClassFeatherweight World Championship

Bruno SouzaThe Tiger16-4-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Nik Bagley owns a 29-point Elo edge (good). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Nik Bagley and Bruno Souza across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Nik BagleyBruno Souza

Recent form

Nik BagleyW W W W W · +118 Elo last 5

WWWWW

Bruno SouzaW W L W W · +12 Elo last 5

WWLWW

Elo edge

Nik Bagley1694+22 last move

Bruno Souza1665+12 last move

Why they are ranked here

Nik Bagley#83 of 453 active Featherweight fighters · 1694 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Luke O'Neill (rated 1500 at the time): +29.
Costliest loss: Lost to Ben Ellis (rated 1500 at the time): -28.
Last 5 fights: 5 wins, 0 losses, +118 Elo in total.
Next places: 0 points behind #82 Jose Delgado, 1 ahead of #84 Jonas Mågård.

Bruno Souza#130 of 453 active Featherweight fighters · 1665 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Wilson Reis (rated 1679 at the time): +18.
Costliest loss: Lost to Ernie Juarez (rated 1468 at the time): -29.
Last 5 fights: 4 wins, 1 loss, +12 Elo in total.
Next places: 1 point behind #129 Viskhan Kadirov, 1 ahead of #131 Kazumasa Majima.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

What's at stake

Nik BagleyNow 1694 · #83 Featherweight

Wins by decision+15→ 1709

Loses by decision-17→ 1677

Bruno SouzaNow 1665 · #130 Featherweight

Wins by decision+17→ 1682

Loses by decision-15→ 1650

What-if simulatorPremium

Pick the winner and how the fight ends to see both new ratings, both new division ranks, and who each fighter would pass.

PremiumRun the what-if simulator

Pick the winner and the method to see both fighters' new ratings, new division ranks and who they'd pass.

Go Premium to run itZero ads included · from $5/mo

Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Nik BagleyvsBruno Souza

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Nik Bagleysubmission leads 78% of wins

Bruno Souzadecision leads 69% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Nik BagleyBruno Souza

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per min3.73

UFC featherweight average : 3.94

Not availableSig. strike accuracy40

UFC featherweight average : 46%

Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per min5.30

UFC featherweight average : 3.90

Not availableSig. strike defense46

UFC featherweight average : 54%

Not availableTakedown average0.50

UFC featherweight average : 1.57

Not availableTakedown accuracy0

UFC featherweight average : 29%

Not availableTakedown defense60

UFC featherweight average : 56%

Not availableSubmission average0

UFC featherweight average : 0.65

1Wins by knockout1

7Wins by submission3

2Wins by decision11

0Losses by knockout1

0Losses by submission0

1Losses by decision3

Nik Bagley vs Bruno Souza is a scheduled Featherweight World Championship fight on CAGE WARRIORS 213 : BAGLEY VS SOUZA. Nik Bagley enters with a 9-1-0 record and Bruno Souza enters with a 16-4-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.