Maurício Rua vs Paul Craig

Nov 16, 2019 · UFC FIGHT PASS

DateNov 16, 2019

DivisionLight Heavyweight

StatusScheduled

VenueIbirapuera Arena

BroadcastUFC FIGHT PASS

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, November 16, 2019 — watch on UFC FIGHT PASS.

US East (ET): Sat 8:00 PM
US West (PT): Sat 5:00 PM
United Kingdom: Sun 1:00 AM
Central Europe: Sun 2:00 AM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 12:00 PM
Your time

Maurício RuaShogun |27-14-1Maurício Rua vs Paul CraigPaul CraigBearjew |17-10-1

Maurício RuaShogun27-14-1

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

27-14-1Record17-10-1

44Age38

6'1"Height6'4"

76"Reach76"

205 lbsWeight185 lbs

Light HeavyweightWeight ClassLight Heavyweight

Paul CraigBearjew17-10-1

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Maurício Rua owns a 28-point Elo edge (good). Maurício Rua shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. 3 shared opponents give extra context.

Compare Maurício Rua and Paul Craig across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Maurício RuaPaul Craig

Recent form

Maurício RuaL L L W D · -35 Elo last 5

LLLWD

Paul CraigL L L L W · -29 Elo last 5

LLLLW

Elo edge

Maurício Rua1691-15 last move

Paul Craig1663-13 last move

Why they are ranked here

Maurício RuaNot on the active ladder · 1691 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Antônio Rogério Nogueira (rated 1735 at the time): +13.
Costliest loss: Lost to Paul Craig (rated 1679 at the time): -17.
Last 5 fights: 1 win, 3 losses, -35 Elo in total.
Inactivity: Placed on 1611, not 1691: 80 points are held back after more than 18 months without a fight, until the next one.

Paul Craig#55 of 162 active Light Heavyweight fighters · 1663 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Maurício Rua (rated 1733 at the time): +22.
Costliest loss: Lost to Johnny Walker (rated 1606 at the time): -26.
Last 5 fights: 1 win, 4 losses, -29 Elo in total.
Next places: 1 point behind #54 Bruno Cappelozza, 0 ahead of #56 Sergiusz Zając.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

What's at stake

Maurício RuaNow 1691

Wins by decision+11→ 1702

Loses by decision-13→ 1678

Paul CraigNow 1663 · #55 Light Heavyweight

Wins by decision+13→ 1676

Loses by decision-11→ 1652

What-if simulatorPremium

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Maurício RuavsPaul Craig

Takedown accuracy

49%vs19%

Submission average

0.71vs1.38

Sig. strikes landed per min

3.57vs2.54

Takedown defense

49%vs35%

Finishing profile

Maurício RuaKO/TKO leads 78% of wins

Paul Craigsubmission leads 76% of wins

Common opponents

Volkan OezdemirMaurício Rua: cancelled · Cancelled Bout · Jul 22, 2018Paul Craig: loss · Decision (Unanimous) · Jul 23, 2022

Alexander GustafssonMaurício Rua: loss · Decision (Unanimous) · Dec 8, 2012Paul Craig: cancelled · Cancelled Bout · Sep 4, 2021

Tyson PedroMaurício Rua: win · TKO (punches) · Dec 1, 2018Paul Craig: loss · TKO (elbows) · Mar 4, 2017

Tale of the tape

Maurício RuaPaul Craig

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.57Sig. strikes landed per min2.54

UFC light heavyweight average : 4.00

51Sig. strike accuracy45

UFC light heavyweight average : 50%

2.79Sig. strikes absorbed per min3

UFC light heavyweight average : 3.73

54Sig. strike defense44

UFC light heavyweight average : 51%

2.01Takedown average1.47

UFC light heavyweight average : 1.37

49Takedown accuracy19

UFC light heavyweight average : 26%

49Takedown defense35

UFC light heavyweight average : 58%

0.71Submission average1.38

UFC light heavyweight average : 0.59

21Wins by knockout4

1Wins by submission13

5Wins by decision0

7Losses by knockout6

3Losses by submission2

4Losses by decision2

Maurício Rua vs Paul Craig is a scheduled Light Heavyweight fight on UFC FIGHT NIGHT : BLACHOWICZ VS JACARE. Maurício Rua enters with a 27-14-1 record and Paul Craig enters with a 17-10-1 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.