Warlley Alves vs Randy Brown

Nov 16, 2019 · UFC FIGHT PASS

DateNov 16, 2019

DivisionWelterweight

StatusScheduled

VenueIbirapuera Arena

BroadcastUFC FIGHT PASS

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, November 16, 2019 — watch on UFC FIGHT PASS.

US East (ET): Sat 8:00 PM
US West (PT): Sat 5:00 PM
United Kingdom: Sun 1:00 AM
Central Europe: Sun 2:00 AM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 12:00 PM
Your time

Warlley Alves14-8-0Warlley Alves vs Randy BrownRandy BrownRude Boy |20-8-0

Warlley Alves14-8-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

14-8-0Record20-8-0

35Age36

5'11"Height6'3"

72,0"Reach78"

186 lbsWeight170 lbs

WelterweightWeight ClassWelterweight

Randy BrownRude Boy20-8-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Randy Brown owns a 116-point Elo edge (good). Warlley Alves shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. 3 shared opponents give extra context.

Compare Warlley Alves and Randy Brown across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Warlley AlvesRandy Brown

Recent form

Warlley AlvesL L L L L · -93 Elo last 5

LLLLL

Randy BrownL L W L W · -15 Elo last 5

LLWLW

Elo edge

Warlley Alves1626-23 last move

Randy Brown1742-13 last move

Why they are ranked here

Warlley AlvesNot on the active ladder · 1626 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Sergio Moraes (rated 1697 at the time): +19.
Costliest loss: Lost to Jeremiah Wells (rated 1640 at the time): -24.
Last 5 fights: 0 wins, 5 losses, -93 Elo in total.
Inactivity: Placed on 1594, not 1626: 32 points are held back after more than 18 months without a fight, until the next one.

Randy Brown#35 of 332 active Welterweight fighters · 1742 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Muslim Salikhov (rated 1733 at the time): +20.
Costliest loss: Lost to Jack Della Maddalena (rated 1728 at the time): -21.
Last 5 fights: 2 wins, 3 losses, -15 Elo in total.
Next places: 4 points behind #34 Sam Patterson, 6 ahead of #36 Kevin Holland.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

What's at stake

Warlley AlvesNow 1626

Wins by decision+21→ 1647

Loses by decision-11→ 1615

Randy BrownNow 1742 · #35 Welterweight

Wins by decision+8→ 1750

Loses by decision-16→ 1726

What-if simulatorPremium

Pick the winner and how the fight ends to see both new ratings, both new division ranks, and who each fighter would pass.

The simulator is part of Combat Edge Premium, with zero ads, 30 Ask Stats questions a month and CSV exports.

Go Premium to run it

Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Warlley AlvesvsRandy Brown

Takedown accuracy

50%vs16%

Takedown average

1.22vs0.71

Submission average

0.85vs0.52

Sig. strikes landed per min

3.04vs4.39

Finishing profile

Warlley Alvessubmission leads 43% of wins

Randy BrownKO/TKO leads 40% of wins

Common opponents

Nicolas Dalby Warlley Alves: loss · Decision · Jan 21, 2023 Randy Brown: win · KO (punch) · Apr 26, 2025

Elizeu ZaleskiWarlley Alves: cancelled · Aug 24, 2013Randy Brown: win · Decision (Unanimous) · Jun 1, 2024

Jack Della MaddalenaWarlley Alves: cancelled · Jan 22, 2022Randy Brown: loss · Submission (Rear Naked Choke) · Feb 11, 2023

Tale of the tape

Warlley AlvesRandy Brown

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.04Sig. strikes landed per min4.39

UFC middleweight average : 3.94

48Sig. strike accuracy47

UFC middleweight average : 48%

3.95Sig. strikes absorbed per min3.35

UFC middleweight average : 3.82

51Sig. strike defense54

UFC middleweight average : 52%

1.22Takedown average0.71

UFC middleweight average : 1.62

50Takedown accuracy16

UFC middleweight average : 30%

63Takedown defense75

UFC middleweight average : 59%

0.85Submission average0.52

UFC middleweight average : 0.68

4Wins by knockout8

6Wins by submission5

4Wins by decision7

3Losses by knockout3

1Losses by submission2

4Losses by decision3

Warlley Alves vs Randy Brown is a scheduled Welterweight fight on UFC FIGHT NIGHT : BLACHOWICZ VS JACARE. Warlley Alves enters with a 14-8-0 record and Randy Brown enters with a 20-8-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.