Paul Kelly vs Jacob Volkmann

Aug 2, 2010 · ESPN+

DateAug 2, 2010

DivisionFight card

StatusScheduled

VenueSan Diego Sports Arena

BroadcastESPN+

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Monday, August 2, 2010 — watch on ESPN+.

US East (ET): Mon 9:00 PM
US West (PT): Mon 6:00 PM
United Kingdom: Tue 2:00 AM
Central Europe: Tue 3:00 AM
Australia (Sydney): Tue 11:00 AM
Your time

Paul KellyTellys |15-5-0Paul Kelly vs Jacob VolkmannJacob VolkmannChristmas |19-7-0

Paul KellyTellys15-5-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

15-5-0Record19-7-0

42Age46

5'9"Height5'9"

TBDReachTBD

169 lbsWeight170 lbs

Fight cardWeight ClassFight card

Jacob VolkmannChristmas19-7-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Jacob Volkmann owns a 95-point Elo edge (solid). Jacob Volkmann shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Paul Kelly and Jacob Volkmann across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Paul KellyJacob Volkmann

Recent form

Paul KellyL L W L W · +3 Elo last 5

LLWLW

Jacob VolkmannL W W L W · +16 Elo last 5

LWWLW

Elo edge

Paul Kelly1535-21 last move

Jacob Volkmann1630-11 last move

Why they are ranked here

Paul KellyNot on the active ladder · 1535 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Matt Veach (rated 1674 at the time): +42.
Costliest loss: Lost to Dennis Siver (rated 1601 at the time): -26.
Last 5 fights: 2 wins, 3 losses, +3 Elo in total.
Inactivity: Placed on 1445, not 1535: 90 points are held back after more than 18 months without a fight, until the next one.

Jacob VolkmannNot on the active ladder · 1630 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Lyle Beerbohm (rated 1752 at the time): +22.
Costliest loss: Lost to T.J. O'Brien (rated 1445 at the time): -24.
Last 5 fights: 3 wins, 2 losses, +16 Elo in total.
Inactivity: Placed on 1540, not 1630: 90 points are held back after more than 18 months without a fight, until the next one.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

What's at stake

Paul KellyNow 1535

Wins by decision+20→ 1555

Loses by decision-12→ 1523

Jacob VolkmannNow 1630

Wins by decision+9→ 1639

Loses by decision-15→ 1615

What-if simulatorPremium

Pick the winner and how the fight ends to see both new ratings, both new division ranks, and who each fighter would pass.

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Paul KellyvsJacob Volkmann

Sig. strikes landed per min

3.22vs1.19

Takedown average

1.34vs3.19

Takedown defense

31%vs53%

Sig. strikes absorbed per min

2.61vs1.78

Finishing profile

Paul KellyKO/TKO leads 53% of wins

Jacob Volkmanndecision leads 53% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Paul KellyJacob Volkmann

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.22Sig. strikes landed per min1.19

UFC welterweight average : 3.66

38Sig. strike accuracy34

UFC welterweight average : 46%

2.61Sig. strikes absorbed per min1.78

UFC welterweight average : 3.84

60Sig. strike defense53

UFC welterweight average : 53%

1.34Takedown average3.19

UFC welterweight average : 1.41

60Takedown accuracy49

UFC welterweight average : 30%

31Takedown defense53

UFC welterweight average : 59%

1.49Submission average1.99

UFC welterweight average : 0.54

8Wins by knockout3

4Wins by submission6

3Wins by decision10

1Losses by knockout0

2Losses by submission5

2Losses by decision2

Paul Kelly vs Jacob Volkmann is a scheduled Fight card fight on UFC LIVE : JONES VS MATYUSHENKO. Paul Kelly enters with a 15-5-0 record and Jacob Volkmann enters with a 19-7-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.