THE ULTIMATE FIGHTER 1 : Rich Franklin VS Ken Shamrock

Sam Hoger vs Bobby Southworth

Apr 9, 2005 · ESPN+

DateApr 9, 2005

DivisionLight Heavyweight

StatusScheduled

VenueCox Pavillion

BroadcastESPN+

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, April 9, 2005 — watch on ESPN+.

US East (ET): Sat 4:00 PM
US West (PT): Sat 1:00 PM
United Kingdom: Sat 9:00 PM
Central Europe: Sat 10:00 PM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 6:00 AM
Your time

Sam HogerAlaskan Assassin |10-4-0Sam Hoger vs Bobby SouthworthBobby Southworth10-6-0

Sam HogerAlaskan Assassin10-4-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

Time00:05:00

10-4-0Record10-6-0

46Age56

6'2"Height6'1"

TBDReachTBD

205 lbsWeight228 lbs

Light HeavyweightWeight ClassLight Heavyweight

Bobby Southworth10-6-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Sam Hoger owns a 50-point Elo edge (solid). Neither side shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. 2 shared opponents give extra context.

Compare Sam Hoger and Bobby Southworth across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Sam HogerBobby Southworth

Recent form

Sam HogerW W W W L · +6 Elo last 5

WWWWL

Bobby SouthworthW L W L W · +12 Elo last 5

WLWLW

Elo edge

Sam Hoger1627+12 last move

Bobby Southworth1577+13 last move

Why they are ranked here

Sam HogerNot on the active ladder · 1627 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Lyoto Machida (rated 1674 at the time): +30.
Costliest loss: Lost to Vernon White (rated 1530 at the time): -36.
Last 5 fights: 4 wins, 1 loss, +6 Elo in total.
Inactivity: Placed on 1537, not 1627: 90 points are held back after more than 18 months without a fight, until the next one.

Bobby SouthworthNot on the active ladder · 1577 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Brian Van Der Walle (rated 1500 at the time): +28.
Costliest loss: Lost to David Pa'aluhi (rated 1508 at the time): -32.
Last 5 fights: 3 wins, 2 losses, +12 Elo in total.
Inactivity: Placed on 1487, not 1577: 90 points are held back after more than 18 months without a fight, until the next one.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

What's at stake

Sam HogerNow 1627

Wins by decision+14→ 1641

Loses by decision-18→ 1609

Bobby SouthworthNow 1577

Wins by decision+18→ 1595

Loses by decision-14→ 1563

What-if simulatorPremium

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Sam HogervsBobby Southworth

Submission average

1.34vs0

Sig. strikes absorbed per min

2.25vs5.20

Takedown defense

29%vs65%

Takedown accuracy

38%vs50%

Finishing profile

Sam Hogersubmission leads 60% of wins

Bobby SouthworthKO/TKO leads 60% of wins

Common opponents

Vernon WhiteSam Hoger: loss · Rear Naked Choke · Apr 7, 2007Bobby Southworth: win · Decision · Dec 8, 2006

Stephan Bonnar Sam Hoger: loss · Decision · Aug 6, 2005Bobby Southworth: loss · Decision · Oct 17, 2004

Tale of the tape

Sam HogerBobby Southworth

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

1.07Sig. strikes landed per min1.40

UFC light heavyweight average : 4.00

25Sig. strike accuracy25

UFC light heavyweight average : 50%

2.25Sig. strikes absorbed per min5.20

UFC light heavyweight average : 3.73

57Sig. strike defense66

UFC light heavyweight average : 51%

1.12Takedown average1

UFC light heavyweight average : 1.37

38Takedown accuracy50

UFC light heavyweight average : 26%

29Takedown defense65

UFC light heavyweight average : 58%

1.34Submission average0

UFC light heavyweight average : 0.59

3Wins by knockout6

6Wins by submission2

1Wins by decision2

0Losses by knockout3

1Losses by submission2

3Losses by decision1

Sam Hoger vs Bobby Southworth is a scheduled Light Heavyweight fight on THE ULTIMATE FIGHTER 1 : Rich Franklin VS Ken Shamrock. Sam Hoger enters with a 10-4-0 record and Bobby Southworth enters with a 10-6-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.