Tracy Cortez vs Cong Wang

Jul 11, 2026 · PARAMOUNT+

Combat Edge model forecast38%Tracy Cortez62%Cong WangFull forecast

DateJul 11, 2026

DivisionFight card

StatusScheduled

VenueT-Mobile Arena

BroadcastPARAMOUNT+

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, July 11, 2026 — watch on PARAMOUNT+.

US East (ET): Sat 9:00 PM
US West (PT): Sat 6:00 PM
United Kingdom: Sun 2:00 AM
Central Europe: Sun 3:00 AM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 11:00 AM
Your time

Tracy Cortez12-4-0Tracy Cortez vs Cong WangCong WangThe Joker |10-2-0

Tracy Cortez12-4-0

Fight Overview

Round3

Time5:00

12-4-0Record10-2-0

32Age34

5'5"Height5'7"

65"Reach66″

125 lbsWeight125 lbs

Fight cardWeight ClassFight card

Cong WangThe Joker10-2-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Cong Wang owns a 24-point Elo edge (good). Neither side shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Tracy Cortez and Cong Wang across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Tracy CortezCong Wang

Recent form

Tracy CortezL L W L W · -22 Elo last 5

LLWLW

Cong WangL W W W W · +81 Elo last 5

LWWWW

Elo edge

Tracy Cortez1669-16 last move

Cong Wang1693-14 last move

Why they are ranked here

Tracy Cortez#22 of 75 active Women Flyweight fighters · 1669 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Mariya Agapova (rated 1645 at the time): +28.
Costliest loss: Lost to Erin Blanchfield (rated 1750 at the time): -17.
Last 5 fights: 2 wins, 3 losses, -22 Elo in total.
Next places: 5 points behind #21 Sabrinna de Sousa, 6 ahead of #23 Karine Silva.

Cong Wang#15 of 75 active Women Flyweight fighters · 1693 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Eduarda Moura (rated 1725 at the time): +28.
Costliest loss: Lost to Gabriella Fernandes (rated 1596 at the time): -33.
Last 5 fights: 4 wins, 1 loss, +81 Elo in total.
Next places: 3 points behind #14 Rose Namajunas, 1 ahead of #16 Miranda Maverick.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v3-2026-06-10

38%Tracy Cortez62%Cong Wang

Model favoriteCong Wang

Elo baseline51% for Cong Wang

Matchup adjustment+11 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Cong WangStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model + Elo agree

Cong Wang leads the full model at 62%. Elo agrees, and the complete matchup model strengthens that lean by 11 points.

Current Elo ratings1669 · 1693Cong Wang leads by 24 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1643 · 1621Tracy Cortez faced the stronger recent schedule (10 vs 10 sampled fights).

Elo record depth16 · 12 fightsTracy Cortez has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesTracy Cortez 2 · 2 Cong WangStrongest available gap: Takedown accuracy toward Tracy Cortez.

What's at stake

Tracy CortezNow 1669 · #22 Women Flyweight

Wins by decision+17→ 1686

Loses by decision-15→ 1654

Cong WangNow 1693 · #15 Women Flyweight

Wins by decision+15→ 1708

Loses by decision-17→ 1676

What-if simulatorPremium

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Tracy CortezvsCong Wang

Takedown accuracy

47%vs0%

Takedown average

2.15vs0.62

Sig. strikes landed per min

3.86vs6.82

Takedown defense

59%vs86%

Finishing profile

Tracy Cortezdecision leads 83% of wins

Cong Wangdecision leads 60% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Tracy CortezCong Wang

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.86Sig. strikes landed per min6.82

UFC flyweight average : 3.95

49Sig. strike accuracy59

UFC flyweight average : 44%

3.01Sig. strikes absorbed per min2.73

UFC flyweight average : 3.88

57Sig. strike defense60

UFC flyweight average : 55%

2.15Takedown average0.62

UFC flyweight average : 1.44

47Takedown accuracy0

UFC flyweight average : 26%

59Takedown defense86

UFC flyweight average : 57%

0.32Submission average0.62

UFC flyweight average : 0.61

1Wins by knockout2

1Wins by submission2

10Wins by decision6

0Losses by knockout0

2Losses by submission1

2Losses by decision1

Tracy Cortez vs Cong Wang is a scheduled Fight card fight on UFC 329 : MCGREGOR VS HOLLOWAY 2. Tracy Cortez enters with a 12-4-0 record and Cong Wang enters with a 10-2-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.