Alexia Thainara vs Bruna Brasil
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-1-0Record11-7-1
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'4"Height5'6"
67"Reach65"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
What's at stake
Alexia Thainara is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Bruna Brasil carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1756
If they lose-22→ 1724
If they win+22→ 1628
If they lose-10→ 1596
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1553 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1614 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alexia ThainaraBruna Brasil
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alexia Thainara70%
Bruna Brasil 30%Elo baseline: 69%
The Combat Edge model makes Alexia Thainara a 70% favorite over Bruna Brasil in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).
Alexia Thainara holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1746 to 1606, a 140-point edge.
Alexia Thainara enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Bruna Brasil enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Alexia Thainara finishes 53% of wins inside the distance, Bruna Brasil 45%.
Alexia Thainara and Bruna Brasil share 2 common opponents: Loma Lookboonmee and Molly McCann.
Alexia Thainara carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.