Andrea Lee vs Cortney Casey
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-11-0Record10-10-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'6"
69"Reach67"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Karate MafiaTeamMMA Lab
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1593
If they lose-16→ 1561
If they win+16→ 1587
If they lose-16→ 1555
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1636 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1596 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Andrea LeeCortney Casey
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Andrea Lee53%
Cortney Casey 47%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Andrea Lee a 53% favorite over Cortney Casey in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1577 vs 1571), separated by just 6 points.
Andrea Lee enters on a 6-fight loss streak.
Andrea Lee finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Cortney Casey 70%.
Andrea Lee and Cortney Casey share 3 common opponents: JJ Aldrich, Cynthia Calvillo and Antonina Shevchenko.
Andrea Lee carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.