Djorden Santos vs Yousri Belgaroui
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Yousri Belgaroui68%
Djorden Santos 32%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Yousri Belgaroui a 68% favorite over Djorden Santos in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Yousri Belgaroui holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1654 to 1610, a 44-point edge.
Djorden Santos enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Djorden Santos finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Yousri Belgaroui 82%.
Yousri Belgaroui carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
11-4-0Record11-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'5"
75"Reach79"
185 lbsWeight190 lbs
JAB PromotionsTeamTeixeira MMA & Fitness· 1624 avg Elo · 8 rated
What's at stake
Yousri Belgaroui is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Djorden Santos carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1628
If they lose-14→ 1596
If they win+14→ 1668
If they lose-18→ 1636
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1583 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1624 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Djorden SantosYousri Belgaroui