Yousri Belgaroui vs Djorden Santos

DateSep 12, 2026

DivisionMiddleweight

StatusScheduled

VenueDesert Diamond Arena

BroadcastPARAMOUNT+

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, September 12, 2026 — watch on PARAMOUNT+.

US East (ET): Sat 5:00 PM
US West (PT): Sat 2:00 PM
United Kingdom: Sat 10:00 PM
Central Europe: Sat 11:00 PM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 7:00 AM
Your time

Yousri BelgarouiBaby Face Assassin |10-3-0Yousri Belgaroui vs Djorden SantosDjorden SantosShakur |11-3-0

Yousri BelgarouiBaby Face Assassin10-3-0

Fight Overview

Round3

Time5:00

10-3-0Record11-3-0

34Age29

6'5"Height6'0"

79"Reach75"

190 lbsWeight185 lbs

MiddleweightWeight ClassMiddleweight

Djorden SantosShakur11-3-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Yousri Belgaroui owns a 30-point Elo edge (solid). Yousri Belgaroui shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Yousri Belgaroui and Djorden Santos across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Yousri BelgarouiDjorden Santos

Recent form

Yousri BelgarouiW W W W W · +109 Elo last 5

WWWWW

Djorden SantosL W L W W · +23 Elo last 5

LWLWW

Elo edge

Yousri Belgaroui1648+25 last move

Djorden Santos1618-13 last move

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.7-2026-08-28

58%Yousri Belgaroui42%Djorden Santos

Model favoriteYousri Belgaroui

Elo baseline54% for Yousri Belgaroui

Matchup adjustment+4 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Yousri BelgarouiStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model + Elo agree

Yousri Belgaroui leads the full model at 58%. Elo agrees, and the complete matchup model strengthens that lean by 4 points.

Current Elo ratings1648 · 1618Yousri Belgaroui leads by 30 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1578 · 1549Yousri Belgaroui faced the stronger recent schedule (10 vs 10 sampled fights).

Elo record depth14 · 11 fightsYousri Belgaroui has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesYousri Belgaroui 4 · 0 Djorden SantosStrongest available gap: Takedown accuracy toward Yousri Belgaroui.

Stat advantages

Yousri BelgarouivsDjorden Santos

Takedown accuracy

100%vs14%

Sig. strikes absorbed per min

2.17vs6.35

Sig. strike accuracy

64%vs43%

Sig. strike defense

64%vs49%

Finishing profile

Yousri BelgarouiKO/TKO leads 80% of wins

Djorden Santossubmission leads 36% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Yousri BelgarouiDjorden Santos

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

6.10Sig. strikes landed per min6.64

UFC middleweight average : 3.76

64Sig. strike accuracy43

UFC middleweight average : 48%

2.17Sig. strikes absorbed per min6.35

UFC middleweight average : 3.80

64Sig. strike defense49

UFC middleweight average : 52%

0.29Takedown average0.51

UFC middleweight average : 1.70

100Takedown accuracy14

UFC middleweight average : 32%

67Takedown defense85

UFC middleweight average : 58%

0Submission average0

UFC middleweight average : 0.63

8Wins by knockout3

0Wins by submission4

2Wins by decision4

0Losses by knockout0

0Losses by submission1

3Losses by decision2

Yousri Belgaroui vs Djorden Santos is a scheduled Middleweight fight on NOCHE UFC : SILVA VS DELGADO. Yousri Belgaroui enters with a 10-3-0 record and Djorden Santos enters with a 11-3-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.