Combat Edge Intelligence

Elves Brener vs Guram Kutateladze

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-6-0Record13-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'11"
72"Reach72"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Chute Boxe Diego LimaTeamAllstars Training Center

What's at stake

Elves Brener is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Guram Kutateladze carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Elves BrenerNow 1692
If they win+14→ 1706
If they lose-18→ 1674
Guram KutateladzeNow 1647
If they win+18→ 1665
If they lose-14→ 1633

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1624 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1607 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.99
Sig. strikes / min
3.95
48%
Strike accuracy
46%
5.30
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.95
48%
Strike defense
57%
1.23
Takedown avg.
0.77
24%
Takedown accuracy
20%
76%
Takedown defense
79%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Elves BrenerGuram Kutateladze
16501700202320242025

Win method breakdown

3 (19%)
KO/TKO
7 (54%)
11 (69%)
Submission
1 (8%)
2 (13%)
Decision
5 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Elves Brener73%
Guram Kutateladze 27%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Elves Brener a 73% favorite over Guram Kutateladze in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Elves Brener holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1692 to 1647, a 45-point edge.

Elves Brener finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Guram Kutateladze 62%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.