Gabriella Fernandes vs Karine Silva
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Karine Silva85%
Gabriella Fernandes 15%Elo baseline: 61%
The Combat Edge model makes Karine Silva a 85% favorite over Gabriella Fernandes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).
Karine Silva holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1677 to 1600, a 77-point edge.
Gabriella Fernandes enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Gabriella Fernandes finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Karine Silva 85%.
Gabriella Fernandes and Karine Silva share 1 common opponent: Jasmine Jasudavicius.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
11-5-0Record20-7-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'4"
66"Reach67"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
MMA MastersTeamGile Ribeiro Team· 1647 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
Karine Silva is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Gabriella Fernandes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1619
If they lose-13→ 1587
If they win+13→ 1690
If they lose-19→ 1658
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1576 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1641 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Gabriella FernandesKarine Silva