Karine Silva vs Gabriella Fernandes

DateNov 7, 2026

DivisionWomen's Flyweight

StatusScheduled

VenueMeta APEX

BroadcastPARAMOUNT+

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, November 7, 2026 — watch on PARAMOUNT+.

US East (ET): Sat 6:00 PM
US West (PT): Sat 3:00 PM
United Kingdom: Sat 11:00 PM
Central Europe: Sun 12:00 AM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 10:00 AM
Your time

Karine SilvaKiller |19-7-0Karine Silva vs Gabriella FernandesGabriella FernandesGabi |11-4-0

Karine SilvaKiller19-7-0

Fight Overview

Round3

Time5:00

19-7-0Record11-4-0

32Age33

5'4"Height5'6"

67"Reach66"

125 lbsWeight125 lbs

Women's FlyweightWeight ClassWomen's Flyweight

Gabriella FernandesGabi11-4-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Karine Silva owns a 49-point Elo edge (good). Karine Silva shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. 1 shared opponent give extra context.

Compare Karine Silva and Gabriella Fernandes across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Karine SilvaGabriella Fernandes

Recent form

Karine SilvaL L W L W · -26 Elo last 5

LLWLW

Gabriella FernandesL W W W L · +9 Elo last 5

LWWWL

Elo edge

Karine Silva1663-15 last move

Gabriella Fernandes1614-17 last move

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.7-2026-08-28

70%Karine Silva30%Gabriella Fernandes

Model favoriteKarine Silva

Elo baseline57% for Karine Silva

Matchup adjustment+13 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Karine SilvaStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model + Elo agree

Karine Silva leads the full model at 70%. Elo agrees, and the complete matchup model strengthens that lean by 13 points.

Current Elo ratings1663 · 1614Karine Silva leads by 49 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1627 · 1560Karine Silva faced the stronger recent schedule (10 vs 10 sampled fights).

Elo record depth21 · 14 fightsKarine Silva has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesKarine Silva 3 · 1 Gabriella FernandesStrongest available gap: Submission average toward Karine Silva.

Stat advantages

Karine SilvavsGabriella Fernandes

Submission average

1.53vs0.22

Takedown average

2.30vs0.44

Takedown defense

21%vs69%

Takedown accuracy

50%vs18%

Finishing profile

Karine SilvaKO/TKO leads 47% of wins

Gabriella Fernandesdecision leads 45% of wins

Common opponents

Jasmine Jasudavicius Karine Silva: loss · Decision (Unanimous) · Apr 18, 2026 Gabriella Fernandes: loss · Decision (Unanimous) · Feb 25, 2023

Tale of the tape

Karine SilvaGabriella Fernandes

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.48Sig. strikes landed per min3.56

UFC flyweight average : 3.95

39Sig. strike accuracy48

UFC flyweight average : 44%

3.04Sig. strikes absorbed per min5.19

UFC flyweight average : 3.88

49Sig. strike defense52

UFC flyweight average : 55%

2.30Takedown average0.44

UFC flyweight average : 1.44

50Takedown accuracy18

UFC flyweight average : 27%

21Takedown defense69

UFC flyweight average : 57%

1.53Submission average0.22

UFC flyweight average : 0.61

9Wins by knockout3

8Wins by submission3

2Wins by decision5

1Losses by knockout1

2Losses by submission0

4Losses by decision3

Karine Silva vs Gabriella Fernandes is a scheduled Women's Flyweight fight on UFC FIGHT NIGHT : BONFIM VS BRADY. Karine Silva enters with a 19-7-0 record and Gabriella Fernandes enters with a 11-4-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.