Jack Hermansson vs Jared Cannonier
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-10-0Record18-9-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'0"
77"Reach 77"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Frontline AcademyTeamMMA Lab
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1733
If they lose-12→ 1709
If they win+17→ 1724
If they lose-15→ 1692
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1715 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1758 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jack HermanssonJared Cannonier
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jack Hermansson60%
Jared Cannonier 40%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Jack Hermansson a 60% favorite over Jared Cannonier in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1721 vs 1707), separated by just 14 points.
Jack Hermansson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jack Hermansson finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Jared Cannonier 72%.
Jack Hermansson and Jared Cannonier share 4 common opponents: Gregory Rodrigues, Sean Strickland, Marvin Vettori and Kelvin Gastelum.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.