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Combat Edge Intelligence

Modestas Bukauskas vs Oumar Sy

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Oumar Sy
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Oumar Sy

12-3-0Light HeavyweightUFC

1682Good

Tale of the tape

21-7-0Record12-3-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'4"
78"Reach83"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Gintas CombatTeamBulgarian Top Team· 1614 avg Elo · 6 rated

What's at stake

Modestas Bukauskas is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Oumar Sy carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Modestas BukauskasNow 1724
If they win+11→ 1735
If they lose-13→ 1711
Oumar SyNow 1682
If they win+18→ 1700
If they lose-14→ 1668

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1661 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1600 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.14
Sig. strikes / min
3.41
43%
Strike accuracy
48%
3.86
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.87
51%
Strike defense
67%
0.23
Takedown avg.
2.45
0%
Takedown accuracy
10%
82%
Takedown defense
67%
0.11
Submission avg.
0.35

Trajectory

Modestas BukauskasOumar Sy
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

12 (57%)
KO/TKO
5 (42%)
3 (14%)
Submission
4 (33%)
6 (29%)
Decision
3 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Modestas Bukauskas54%
Oumar Sy 46%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Modestas Bukauskas a 54% favorite over Oumar Sy in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Modestas Bukauskas holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1724 to 1682, a 42-point edge.

Modestas Bukauskas enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Oumar Sy enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Modestas Bukauskas finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Oumar Sy 75%.

Modestas Bukauskas and Oumar Sy share 1 common opponent: Ion Cutelaba.

Oumar Sy carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinDecision (split) · 2025
Ion Cutelaba
LossSubmission · 2026