UFC FIGHT NIGHT : HOOKER VS PARNASSE

Oumar Sy vs Modestas Bukauskas

EventUFC FIGHT NIGHT : HOOKER VS PARNASSE
DateSep 5, 2026
StatusScheduled
VenueAccor Arena
BroadcastPARAMOUNT+
Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, September 5, 2026 — watch on PARAMOUNT+.

US East (ET)
Sat 3:00 PM
US West (PT)
Sat 12:00 PM
United Kingdom
Sat 8:00 PM
Central Europe
Sat 9:00 PM
Australia (Sydney)
Sun 5:00 AM

Oumar Sy vs Modestas Bukauskas is a scheduled Light Heavyweight fight on UFC FIGHT NIGHT : HOOKER VS PARNASSE. Oumar Sy enters with a 12-2-0 record and Modestas Bukauskas enters with a 20-7-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.

Oumar Sy vs Modestas Bukauskas quick answers

When is Oumar Sy vs Modestas Bukauskas?

Oumar Sy vs Modestas Bukauskas is listed for UFC FIGHT NIGHT : HOOKER VS PARNASSE on Sep 5, 2026 at 3:00 PM EST.

What event is Oumar Sy vs Modestas Bukauskas on?

Oumar Sy vs Modestas Bukauskas is listed on UFC FIGHT NIGHT : HOOKER VS PARNASSE.

What are the records for Oumar Sy vs Modestas Bukauskas?

Oumar Sy enters with a 12-2-0 record and Modestas Bukauskas enters with a 20-7-0 record.

What division is Oumar Sy vs Modestas Bukauskas?

Oumar Sy vs Modestas Bukauskas is listed as a Light Heavyweight fight.

Oumar Sy12-2-0Oumar Sy vs Modestas BukauskasModestas BukauskasThe Baltic Gladiator |20-7-0
frOumar Sy12-2-0Oumar Syfr

Fight Overview

Round3
Time5:00
12-2-0Record20-7-0
30Age32
6'4"Height6'3"
83"Reach78"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Light HeavyweightWeight ClassLight Heavyweight
ltModestas BukauskasThe Baltic Gladiator20-7-0ltModestas Bukauskas
Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Modestas Bukauskas owns a 8-point Elo edge (good). Oumar Sy shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. 2 shared opponents give extra context.

Compare Oumar Sy and Modestas Bukauskas across their careers →

Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Oumar SyModestas Bukauskas
16501700202420252026

Recent form

Oumar SyL W L W W · +11 Elo last 5
LWLWW
Modestas BukauskasW L W W W · +41 Elo last 5
WLWWW

Elo edge

Oumar Sy1699-24 last move
Modestas Bukauskas1707+7 last move
Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.7-2026-08-28
64%Oumar Sy36%Modestas Bukauskas
Model favoriteOumar Sy
Elo baseline49% for Oumar Sy
Matchup adjustment+15 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

Sponsored — betting partner link. 19+ (18+ where permitted). Please play responsibly.

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model flips Elo

The full model flips the Elo-only lean: Oumar Sy is 64%, after Elo alone favored Modestas Bukauskas at 51%.

Current Elo ratings1699 · 1707Modestas Bukauskas leads by 8 rating points.
Recent opponent quality1576 · 1641Modestas Bukauskas faced the stronger recent schedule (10 vs 10 sampled fights).
Elo record depth14 · 27 fightsModestas Bukauskas has the deeper counted Elo history.
Largest tracked stat edgesOumar Sy 4 · 0 Modestas BukauskasStrongest available gap: Takedown accuracy toward Oumar Sy.

Stat advantages

Oumar SyvsModestas Bukauskas
Takedown accuracy
10%vs0%
Takedown average
2.45vs0.23
Sig. strikes absorbed per min
1.87vs3.86
Submission average
0.35vs0.11

Finishing profile

Oumar SyKO/TKO leads 42% of wins
Modestas BukauskasKO/TKO leads 55% of wins

Tale of the tape

Oumar SyModestas Bukauskas
3.41Sig. strikes landed per min3.14
UFC light heavyweight average : 4.00
48Sig. strike accuracy43
UFC light heavyweight average : 50%
1.87Sig. strikes absorbed per min3.86
UFC light heavyweight average : 3.74
67Sig. strike defense51
UFC light heavyweight average : 51%
2.45Takedown average0.23
UFC light heavyweight average : 1.35
10Takedown accuracy0
UFC light heavyweight average : 28%
67Takedown defense82
UFC light heavyweight average : 57%
0.35Submission average0.11
UFC light heavyweight average : 0.58
5Wins by knockout11
4Wins by submission3
3Wins by decision6
0Losses by knockout5
1Losses by submission1
1Losses by decision1

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