Summer Onley vs Alivia Bierley

DateOct 6, 2026

DivisionWomen's Bantamweight

StatusScheduled

VenueMeta APEX

BroadcastPARAMOUNT+

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Tuesday, October 6, 2026 — watch on PARAMOUNT+.

US East (ET): Tue 7:00 PM
US West (PT): Tue 4:00 PM
United Kingdom: Wed 12:00 AM
Central Europe: Wed 1:00 AM
Australia (Sydney): Wed 10:00 AM
Your time

Summer OnleyIce Cold |6-0-0Summer Onley vs Alivia BierleyAlivia BierleyYum Yum |5-1-0

Summer OnleyIce Cold6-0-0

Fight Overview

Round3

Time5:00

6-0-0Record5-1-0

TBDAge30

5'7"Height5'7"

TBDReach-

135 lbsWeight137 lbs

Women's BantamweightWeight ClassWomen's Bantamweight

Alivia BierleyYum Yum5-1-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Summer Onley owns a 44-point Elo edge (solid). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Summer Onley and Alivia Bierley across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Summer OnleyAlivia Bierley

Recent form

Summer OnleyW W W W W · +116 Elo last 5

WWWWW

Alivia BierleyW W W W W · +121 Elo last 5

WWWWW

Elo edge

Summer Onley1645+17 last move

Alivia Bierley1601+22 last move

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.7-2026-08-28

27%Summer Onley73%Alivia Bierley

Model favoriteAlivia Bierley

Elo baseline44% for Alivia Bierley

Matchup adjustment+29 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Alivia BierleyStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model flips Elo

The full model flips the Elo-only lean: Alivia Bierley is 73%, after Elo alone favored Summer Onley at 56%.

Current Elo ratings1645 · 1601Summer Onley leads by 44 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1516 · 1499Summer Onley faced the stronger recent schedule (6 vs 6 sampled fights).

Elo record depth6 · 6 fightsThe published ratings use the same number of counted fights.

Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

Stat advantages

Summer OnleyvsAlivia Bierley

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Summer OnleyKO/TKO leads 83% of wins

Alivia BierleyKO/TKO leads 60% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Summer OnleyAlivia Bierley

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per minNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 3.70

Not availableSig. strike accuracyNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 45%

Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per minNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 3.76

Not availableSig. strike defenseNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 54%

Not availableTakedown averageNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 1.52

Not availableTakedown accuracyNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 28%

Not availableTakedown defenseNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 61%

Not availableSubmission averageNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 0.52

5Wins by knockout3

0Wins by submission0

1Wins by decision2

0Losses by knockout0

0Losses by submission0

0Losses by decision1

Summer Onley vs Alivia Bierley is a scheduled Women's Bantamweight fight on CONTENDER SERIES 2026 : WEEK 9. Summer Onley enters with a 6-0-0 record and Alivia Bierley enters with a 5-1-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.