Michael Dufort17-6-0
Antoine Chaput7-2-0
Model leanModel + Elo agree
66%Michael Dufort34%Antoine Chaput
Combat Edge Model · Full card
SAMOURAI MMA 21 : DUFORT VS CHAPUT predictions
Model win probabilities for every bout on SAMOURAI MMA 21 : DUFORT VS CHAPUT (September 4, 2026), computed from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. Forecasts freeze before fight night and every result is graded on the public accuracy tracker. Analytics, not betting advice.
9Total bouts
9Frozen forecasts
3Close matchups
2Model / Elo splits
0Strong model leans
OpenPicks close at start
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Main card
Main card predictions
9 matchups · model probability, Elo baseline, fighter records, and your pick in one place.
Alex Morgan18-7-0
Nilton Gavião17-8-0
Model leanModel + Elo agree
59%Alex Morgan41%Nilton Gavião
Mohamed Ado6-3-0
Mac Laursen8-3-0
Close matchupModel + Elo agree
47%Mohamed Ado53%Mac Laursen
Mehdi Zeidvand7-0-0
Nonato Junior20-13-1
Model leanModel + Elo agree
60%Mehdi Zeidvand40%Nonato Junior
Maxim Cote3-1-0
Joshua Sierra4-2-0
Close matchupModel + Elo agree
54%Maxim Cote46%Joshua Sierra
Tristan Gagne0-0-0
Jaime Ortiz1-1-0
Model leanModel / Elo split
42%Tristan Gagne59%Jaime Ortiz
Gabriel Tabet1-0-0
Chris Droege1-0-0
Close matchup50/50 baseline
47%Gabriel Tabet53%Chris Droege
Valentyn Bulat3-0-0
Nichollas Pestilli3-1-0
Model leanModel / Elo split
43%Valentyn Bulat57%Nichollas Pestilli
Vince Nikiforov0-0-0
Jovanni Butler0-0-0
Model lean50/50 baseline
44%Vince Nikiforov57%Jovanni Butler