Combat Edge Model · Full card

UFC 205 : ALVAREZ VS MCGREGOR predictions

Model win probabilities for every bout on UFC 205 : ALVAREZ VS MCGREGOR (November 13, 2016), computed from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. Forecasts freeze before fight night and every result is graded on the public accuracy tracker. Analytics, not betting advice.

11Total bouts
0Frozen forecasts
0Close matchups
0Model / Elo splits
0Strong model leans
LockedFight card started
Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Sunday, November 13, 2016 — watch on ESPN+.

US East (ET)
Sun 9:00 PM
US West (PT)
Sun 6:00 PM
United Kingdom
Mon 2:00 AM
Central Europe
Mon 3:00 AM
Australia (Sydney)
Mon 1:00 PM

No frozen predictions for this card yet — the model scores every bout once the matchups are locked. Check back shortly.

Main card

Main card predictions

5 matchups · model probability, Elo baseline, fighter records, and your pick in one place.

Prelims

Prelims predictions

4 matchups · model probability, Elo baseline, fighter records, and your pick in one place.

Early prelims

Early prelims predictions

2 matchups · model probability, Elo baseline, fighter records, and your pick in one place.