Combat Edge Model · Full card

UFC Fight Night: Salkilld vs Saint Denis predictions

Model win probabilities for every bout on UFC Fight Night: Salkilld vs Saint Denis (February 6, 2027), computed from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. Forecasts freeze before fight night and every result is graded on the public accuracy tracker. Analytics, not betting advice.

Make your picks free — beat the model Event overview

4Total bouts

4Frozen forecasts

0Close matchups

0Model / Elo splits

2Strong model leans

OpenPicks close at start

Card intelligence

Find the fights that matter

Scan every matchup, isolate close calls, or find where the full model and Elo baseline see different winners.

Showing all 4 matchups.

Main card

Main card predictions

4 matchups · model probability, Elo baseline, fighter records, and your pick in one place.

Lightweightv0.8-2026-10-04

Quillan Salkilld13-1-0

Benoit Saint-Denis17-4-0

Model leanModel + Elo agree

67%Quillan Salkilld33%Benoit Saint-Denis

Combat Edge win probabilityElo alone: 52% / 48%

Light Heavyweightv0.8-2026-10-04

Bogdan Guskov18-4-1

Robert Whittaker27-9-0

Model leanModel + Elo agree

44%Bogdan Guskov56%Robert Whittaker

Combat Edge win probabilityElo alone: 45% / 55%

Featherweightv0.8-2026-10-04

Marwan Rahiki9-1-0

Joo Sang Yoo9-2-0

Strong model leanModel + Elo agree

73%Marwan Rahiki27%Joo Sang Yoo

Combat Edge win probabilityElo alone: 57% / 43%

Featherweightv0.8-2026-10-04

Kaan Ofli14-4-1

Joanderson Brito20-5-1

Strong model leanModel + Elo agree

16%Kaan Ofli84%Joanderson Brito

Combat Edge win probabilityElo alone: 35% / 65%