UFC FIGHT NIGHT : SALKILLD VS SAINT DENIS

Quillan Salkilld vs Benoit Saint-Denis

Feb 6, 2027 · PARAMOUNT+

Combat Edge model forecast67%Quillan Salkilld33%Benoit Saint-DenisFull forecast and your pick

DateFeb 6, 2027

DivisionLightweight

StatusScheduled

VenueAfterpay Arena

BroadcastPARAMOUNT+

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, February 6, 2027 — watch on PARAMOUNT+.

US East (ET): Sat 5:00 PM
US West (PT): Sat 2:00 PM
United Kingdom: Sat 10:00 PM
Central Europe: Sat 11:00 PM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 9:00 AM
Your time

Quillan Salkilld13-1-0Quillan Salkilld vs Benoit Saint-DenisBenoit Saint-DenisGod of War |17-4-0

Quillan Salkilld13-1-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

13-1-0Record17-4-0

26Age30

6'0"Height5'11"

75"Reach73"

155 lbsWeight155 lbs

LightweightWeight ClassLightweight

Benoit Saint-DenisGod of War17-4-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Quillan Salkilld owns a 15-point Elo edge (great). Neither side shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. 1 shared opponent give extra context.

Compare Quillan Salkilld and Benoit Saint-Denis across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Quillan SalkilldBenoit Saint-Denis

Recent form

Quillan SalkilldW W W W W · +102 Elo last 5

WWWWW

Benoit Saint-DenisL W W W W · +51 Elo last 5

LWWWW

Elo edge

Quillan Salkilld1784+23 last move

Benoit Saint-Denis1769-20 last move

Why they are ranked here

Quillan Salkilld#14 of 459 active Lightweight fighters · 1784 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Blake Donnelly (rated 1569 at the time): +30.
Last 5 fights: 5 wins, 0 losses, +102 Elo in total.
Next places: 5 points behind #13 Gadzhi Rabadanov, 13 ahead of #15 Natan Schulte.
Opposition: Opponents averaged 1654 Elo over the last 10 fights. Beating higher-rated opponents is worth more.

Benoit Saint-Denis#16 of 459 active Lightweight fighters · 1769 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Ismael Bonfim (rated 1730 at the time): +22.
Costliest loss: Lost to Paddy Pimblett (rated 1779 at the time): -20.
Last 5 fights: 4 wins, 1 loss, +51 Elo in total.
Next places: 2 points behind #15 Natan Schulte, 0 ahead of #17 Shinya Aoki.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.8-2026-10-04

67%Quillan Salkilld33%Benoit Saint-Denis

Model favoriteQuillan Salkilld

Elo baseline52% for Quillan Salkilld

Matchup adjustment+15 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Quillan SalkilldStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model + Elo agree

Quillan Salkilld leads the full model at 67%. Elo agrees, and the complete matchup model strengthens that lean by 15 points.

Current Elo ratings1784 · 1769Quillan Salkilld leads by 15 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1654 · 1735Benoit Saint-Denis faced the stronger recent schedule (10 vs 10 sampled fights).

Elo record depth14 · 21 fightsBenoit Saint-Denis has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesQuillan Salkilld 2 · 2 Benoit Saint-DenisStrongest available gap: Takedown accuracy toward Benoit Saint-Denis.

What's at stake

Quillan SalkilldNow 1784 · #14 Lightweight

Wins by decision+15→ 1799

Loses by decision-17→ 1767

Benoit Saint-DenisNow 1769 · #16 Lightweight

Wins by decision+17→ 1786

Loses by decision-15→ 1754

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Quillan SalkilldvsBenoit Saint-Denis

Takedown accuracy

0%vs3%

Submission average

1.03vs1.73

Takedown average

6.86vs4.15

Sig. strikes absorbed per min

2.79vs4.09

Finishing profile

Quillan SalkilldKO/TKO leads 38% of wins

Benoit Saint-Denissubmission leads 65% of wins

Common opponents

Beneil Dariush Quillan Salkilld: win · TKO (punches) · May 2, 2026 Benoit Saint-Denis: win · KO (punch) · Nov 15, 2025

Tale of the tape

Quillan SalkilldBenoit Saint-Denis

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.73Sig. strikes landed per min5.58

UFC lightweight average : 3.84

57Sig. strike accuracy58

UFC lightweight average : 46%

2.79Sig. strikes absorbed per min4.09

UFC lightweight average : 3.89

46Sig. strike defense42

UFC lightweight average : 54%

6.86Takedown average4.15

UFC lightweight average : 1.66

0Takedown accuracy3

UFC lightweight average : 28%

81Takedown defense72

UFC lightweight average : 58%

1.03Submission average1.73

UFC lightweight average : 0.54

5Wins by knockout6

5Wins by submission11

3Wins by decision0

0Losses by knockout2

1Losses by submission1

0Losses by decision1

Quillan Salkilld vs Benoit Saint-Denis is a scheduled Lightweight fight on UFC FIGHT NIGHT : SALKILLD VS SAINT DENIS. Quillan Salkilld enters with a 13-1-0 record and Benoit Saint-Denis enters with a 17-4-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.