Alvi Dasuyev vs Jaden Ortega

DateSep 22, 2026

DivisionWelterweight

StatusScheduled

VenueMeta APEX

BroadcastPARAMOUNT+

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Tuesday, September 22, 2026 — watch on PARAMOUNT+.

US East (ET): Tue 7:00 PM
US West (PT): Tue 4:00 PM
United Kingdom: Wed 12:00 AM
Central Europe: Wed 1:00 AM
Australia (Sydney): Wed 9:00 AM
Your time

Alvi DasuyevSpartan |9-0-0Alvi Dasuyev vs Jaden OrtegaJaden Ortega6-0-0

Alvi DasuyevSpartan9-0-0

Fight Overview

Round3

Time5:00

9-0-0Record6-0-0

TBDAge23

6'1"Height6'1"

74"Reach-

170 lbsWeight171 lbs

WelterweightWeight ClassWelterweight

Jaden Ortega6-0-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Alvi Dasuyev owns a 79-point Elo edge (good). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Alvi Dasuyev and Jaden Ortega across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Alvi DasuyevJaden Ortega

Recent form

Alvi DasuyevW W W W W · +95 Elo last 5

WWWWW

Jaden OrtegaW W W W W · +90 Elo last 5

WWWWW

Elo edge

Alvi Dasuyev1695+15 last move

Jaden Ortega1616+18 last move

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.7-2026-08-28

67%Alvi Dasuyev33%Jaden Ortega

Model favoriteAlvi Dasuyev

Elo baseline61% for Alvi Dasuyev

Matchup adjustment+6 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Alvi DasuyevStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model + Elo agree

Alvi Dasuyev leads the full model at 67%. Elo agrees, and the complete matchup model strengthens that lean by 6 points.

Current Elo ratings1695 · 1616Alvi Dasuyev leads by 79 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1504 · 1439Alvi Dasuyev faced the stronger recent schedule (9 vs 6 sampled fights).

Elo record depth9 · 6 fightsAlvi Dasuyev has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

Stat advantages

Alvi DasuyevvsJaden Ortega

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Alvi DasuyevKO/TKO leads 67% of wins

Jaden OrtegaKO/TKO leads 83% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Alvi DasuyevJaden Ortega

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per minNot available

UFC welterweight average : 3.67

Not availableSig. strike accuracyNot available

UFC welterweight average : 46%

Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per minNot available

UFC welterweight average : 3.83

Not availableSig. strike defenseNot available

UFC welterweight average : 53%

Not availableTakedown averageNot available

UFC welterweight average : 1.33

Not availableTakedown accuracyNot available

UFC welterweight average : 32%

Not availableTakedown defenseNot available

UFC welterweight average : 59%

Not availableSubmission averageNot available

UFC welterweight average : 0.54

6Wins by knockout5

3Wins by submission0

0Wins by decision1

0Losses by knockout0

0Losses by submission0

0Losses by decision0

Alvi Dasuyev vs Jaden Ortega is a scheduled Welterweight fight on CONTENDER SERIES 2026 : WEEK 7. Alvi Dasuyev enters with a 9-0-0 record and Jaden Ortega enters with a 6-0-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.