Kelvin Gastelum vs Nate Marquardt

Jun 13, 2015 · ESPN+

DateJun 13, 2015

DivisionMiddleweight

StatusScheduled

VenueMexico City Arena

BroadcastESPN+

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, June 13, 2015 — watch on ESPN+.

US East (ET): Sat 2:00 PM
US West (PT): Sat 11:00 AM
United Kingdom: Sat 7:00 PM
Central Europe: Sat 8:00 PM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 4:00 AM
Your time

Kelvin Gastelum20-11-0Kelvin Gastelum vs Nate MarquardtNate MarquardtThe Great |36-20-2

Kelvin Gastelum20-11-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

20-11-0Record36-20-2

34Age47

5'9"Height6'0"

71"Reach42,0"

185 lbsWeight185 lbs

MiddleweightWeight ClassMiddleweight

Nate MarquardtThe Great36-20-2

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Kelvin Gastelum owns a 42-point Elo edge (good). Nate Marquardt shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. 3 shared opponents give extra context.

Compare Kelvin Gastelum and Nate Marquardt across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Kelvin GastelumNate Marquardt

Recent form

Kelvin GastelumL W L W L · -16 Elo last 5

LWLWL

Nate MarquardtL W L L L · -50 Elo last 5

LWLLL

Elo edge

Kelvin Gastelum1693-14 last move

Nate Marquardt1651-21 last move

Why they are ranked here

Kelvin Gastelum#65 of 275 active Middleweight fighters · 1693 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Chris Curtis (rated 1748 at the time): +19.
Costliest loss: Lost to Jared Cannonier (rated 1665 at the time): -18.
Last 5 fights: 2 wins, 3 losses, -16 Elo in total.
Next places: 0 points behind #64 Jordan Zébo, 0 ahead of #66 Torrez Finney.

Nate MarquardtNot on the active ladder · 1651 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Tamdan McCrory (rated 1661 at the time): +14.
Costliest loss: Lost to Valdir Araujo (rated 1485 at the time): -21.
Last 5 fights: 1 win, 4 losses, -50 Elo in total.
Inactivity: Placed on 1561, not 1651: 90 points are held back after more than 18 months without a fight, until the next one.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

What's at stake

Kelvin GastelumNow 1693 · #65 Middleweight

Wins by decision+11→ 1704

Loses by decision-13→ 1680

Nate MarquardtNow 1651

Wins by decision+13→ 1664

Loses by decision-11→ 1640

What-if simulatorPremium

Pick the winner and how the fight ends to see both new ratings, both new division ranks, and who each fighter would pass.

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Kelvin GastelumvsNate Marquardt

Submission average

0.09vs0.85

Takedown accuracy

13%vs51%

Takedown average

1.04vs1.87

Sig. strikes absorbed per min

3.52vs2.32

Finishing profile

Kelvin Gastelumdecision leads 45% of wins

Nate Marquardtsubmission leads 42% of wins

Common opponents

Vitor BelfortKelvin Gastelum: no contest · NC (overturned) · Mar 11, 2017Nate Marquardt: loss · Decision · Jun 3, 2017

Jake Ellenberger Kelvin Gastelum: win · Submission (Rear Naked Choke) · Nov 15, 2014Nate Marquardt: loss · Punches · Mar 16, 2013

Tyron Woodley Kelvin Gastelum: loss · Decision (Split) · Jan 31, 2015Nate Marquardt: win · Punches & Elbows · Jul 14, 2012

Tale of the tape

Kelvin GastelumNate Marquardt

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.65Sig. strikes landed per min2.71

UFC middleweight average : 3.94

42Sig. strike accuracy49

UFC middleweight average : 48%

3.52Sig. strikes absorbed per min2.32

UFC middleweight average : 3.82

57Sig. strike defense56

UFC middleweight average : 52%

1.04Takedown average1.87

UFC middleweight average : 1.62

13Takedown accuracy51

UFC middleweight average : 30%

60Takedown defense71

UFC middleweight average : 59%

0.09Submission average0.85

UFC middleweight average : 0.68

6Wins by knockout13

5Wins by submission15

9Wins by decision8

0Losses by knockout6

4Losses by submission2

7Losses by decision12

Kelvin Gastelum vs Nate Marquardt is a scheduled Middleweight fight on UFC 188 : VELASQUEZ VS WERDUM. Kelvin Gastelum enters with a 20-11-0 record and Nate Marquardt enters with a 36-20-2 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.