Carlos Condit vs Thiago Alves

May 30, 2015 · ESPN+

DateMay 30, 2015

DivisionWelterweight

StatusScheduled

VenueGinasio José Corrêa

BroadcastESPN+

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, May 30, 2015 — watch on ESPN+.

US East (ET): Sat 2:00 PM
US West (PT): Sat 11:00 AM
United Kingdom: Sat 7:00 PM
Central Europe: Sat 8:00 PM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 4:00 AM
Your time

Carlos ConditThe Natural Born Killer |32-14-0Carlos Condit vs Thiago AlvesThiago AlvesPitbull |23-15-0

Carlos ConditThe Natural Born Killer32-14-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

32-14-0Record23-15-0

42Age43

6'1"Height5'10"

75"Reach70,0"

170 lbsWeight170 lbs

WelterweightWeight ClassWelterweight

Thiago AlvesPitbull23-15-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Carlos Condit owns a 157-point Elo edge (good). Neither side shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. 3 shared opponents give extra context.

Compare Carlos Condit and Thiago Alves across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Carlos ConditThiago Alves

Recent form

Carlos ConditL W W L L · -25 Elo last 5

LWWLL

Thiago AlvesL L W L L · -33 Elo last 5

LLWLL

Elo edge

Carlos Condit1730-14 last move

Thiago Alves1573-11 last move

Why they are ranked here

Carlos ConditNot on the active ladder · 1730 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Thiago Alves (rated 1638 at the time): +9.
Costliest loss: Lost to Tyron Woodley (rated 1730 at the time): -18.
Last 5 fights: 2 wins, 3 losses, -25 Elo in total.
Inactivity: Placed on 1640, not 1730: 90 points are held back after more than 18 months without a fight, until the next one.

Thiago AlvesNot on the active ladder · 1573 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Patrick Cote (rated 1744 at the time): +17.
Costliest loss: Lost to Josh Wick (rated 1556 at the time): -17.
Last 5 fights: 1 win, 4 losses, -33 Elo in total.
Inactivity: Placed on 1483, not 1573: 90 points are held back after more than 18 months without a fight, until the next one.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

What's at stake

Carlos ConditNow 1730

Wins by decision+7→ 1737

Loses by decision-17→ 1713

Thiago AlvesNow 1573

Wins by decision+17→ 1590

Loses by decision-7→ 1566

What-if simulatorPremium

Pick the winner and how the fight ends to see both new ratings, both new division ranks, and who each fighter would pass.

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Carlos ConditvsThiago Alves

Submission average

0.99vs0.30

Takedown defense

39%vs63%

Takedown accuracy

46%vs61%

Sig. strikes absorbed per min

2.67vs3.42

Finishing profile

Carlos ConditKO/TKO leads 47% of wins

Thiago AlvesKO/TKO leads 57% of wins

Common opponents

Max Griffin Carlos Condit: loss · Decision (Unanimous) · Jul 10, 2021Thiago Alves: win · Decision · Feb 2, 2019

Matt BrownCarlos Condit: win · Decision (Unanimous) · Jan 16, 2021Thiago Alves: cancelled · Aug 17, 2013

Martin KampmannCarlos Condit: win · TKO (punches and knees) · Aug 28, 2013Thiago Alves: loss · Guillotine Choke · Mar 2, 2012

Tale of the tape

Carlos ConditThiago Alves

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.66Sig. strikes landed per min3.73

UFC welterweight average : 3.66

39Sig. strike accuracy42

UFC welterweight average : 46%

2.67Sig. strikes absorbed per min3.42

UFC welterweight average : 3.86

55Sig. strike defense63

UFC welterweight average : 53%

0.59Takedown average0.71

UFC welterweight average : 1.41

46Takedown accuracy61

UFC welterweight average : 30%

39Takedown defense63

UFC welterweight average : 59%

0.99Submission average0.30

UFC welterweight average : 0.54

15Wins by knockout13

13Wins by submission1

4Wins by decision9

1Losses by knockout3

6Losses by submission5

7Losses by decision7

Carlos Condit vs Thiago Alves is a scheduled Welterweight fight on UFC FIGHT NIGHT : CONDIT VS ALVES. Carlos Condit enters with a 32-14-0 record and Thiago Alves enters with a 23-15-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.