Ilias Bulaid vs Erick Visconde

Oct 13, 2026 · Paramount+

Combat Edge model forecast44%Ilias Bulaid56%Erick ViscondeFull forecast and your pick

DateOct 13, 2026

DivisionFeatherweight

StatusScheduled

VenueMeta APEX

BroadcastParamount+

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Tuesday, October 13, 2026 — watch on Paramount+.

US East (ET): Tue 7:00 PM
US West (PT): Tue 4:00 PM
United Kingdom: Wed 12:00 AM
Central Europe: Wed 1:00 AM
Australia (Sydney): Wed 10:00 AM
Your time

Ilias BulaidThe Blade |9-0-0Ilias Bulaid vs Erick ViscondeErick ViscondeSabugo |17-3-0

Ilias BulaidThe Blade9-0-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

9-0-0Record17-3-0

31Age29

5'10"Height5'7"

70.5"Reach66.5"

145 lbsWeight146 lbs

FeatherweightWeight ClassFeatherweight

Erick ViscondeSabugo17-3-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Erick Visconde owns a 30-point Elo edge (good). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Ilias Bulaid and Erick Visconde across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Ilias BulaidErick Visconde

Recent form

Ilias BulaidW W W W W · +88 Elo last 5

WWWWW

Erick ViscondeW W W W L · +29 Elo last 5

WWWWL

Elo edge

Ilias Bulaid1680+16 last move

Erick Visconde1710+13 last move

Why they are ranked here

Ilias Bulaid#103 of 370 active Featherweight fighters · 1680 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Vitalic Maiboroda (rated 1500 at the time): +29.
Last 5 fights: 5 wins, 0 losses, +88 Elo in total.
Next places: 0 points behind #102 Hyder Amil, 0 ahead of #104 Tyshawn Williams.
Opposition: Opponents averaged 1498 Elo over the last 9 fights. Beating higher-rated opponents is worth more.

Erick Visconde#63 of 370 active Featherweight fighters · 1710 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Ederson Cardoso (rated 1500 at the time): +19.
Costliest loss: Lost to João Pedro Saldanha (rated 1549 at the time): -26.
Last 5 fights: 4 wins, 1 loss, +29 Elo in total.
Next places: 0 points behind #62 Aaron Pico, 1 ahead of #64 Asaël Adjoudj.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.8-2026-10-04

44%Ilias Bulaid56%Erick Visconde

Model favoriteErick Visconde

Elo baseline54% for Erick Visconde

Matchup adjustment+2 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Erick ViscondeStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model + Elo agree

Erick Visconde leads the full model at 56%. Elo agrees, and the complete matchup model strengthens that lean by 2 points.

Current Elo ratings1680 · 1710Erick Visconde leads by 30 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1498 · 1550Erick Visconde faced the stronger recent schedule (9 vs 10 sampled fights).

Elo record depth9 · 19 fightsErick Visconde has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

What's at stake

Ilias BulaidNow 1680 · #103 Featherweight

Wins by decision+26→ 1706

Loses by decision-22→ 1658

Erick ViscondeNow 1710 · #63 Featherweight

Wins by decision+15→ 1725

Loses by decision-17→ 1693

What-if simulatorPremium

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Ilias BulaidvsErick Visconde

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Ilias BulaidKO/TKO leads 56% of wins

Erick ViscondeKO/TKO leads 35% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Ilias BulaidErick Visconde

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per minNot available

UFC featherweight average : 3.93

Not availableSig. strike accuracyNot available

UFC featherweight average : 46%

Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per minNot available

UFC featherweight average : 3.88

Not availableSig. strike defenseNot available

UFC featherweight average : 54%

Not availableTakedown averageNot available

UFC featherweight average : 1.57

Not availableTakedown accuracyNot available

UFC featherweight average : 29%

Not availableTakedown defenseNot available

UFC featherweight average : 55%

Not availableSubmission averageNot available

UFC featherweight average : 0.65

5Wins by knockout6

1Wins by submission6

3Wins by decision5

0Losses by knockout0

0Losses by submission1

0Losses by decision2

Ilias Bulaid vs Erick Visconde is a scheduled Featherweight fight on CONTENDER SERIES 2026 : WEEK 10. Ilias Bulaid enters with a 9-0-0 record and Erick Visconde enters with a 17-3-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.