Grant Dawson vs Julian Erosa

Mar 10, 2019 · ESPN+

DateMar 10, 2019

DivisionFeatherweight

StatusScheduled

VenueINTRUST Bank Arena

BroadcastESPN+

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Sunday, March 10, 2019 — watch on ESPN+.

US East (ET): Sun 7:00 PM
US West (PT): Sun 4:00 PM
United Kingdom: Sun 11:00 PM
Central Europe: Mon 12:00 AM
Australia (Sydney): Mon 10:00 AM
Your time

Grant DawsonKGD |24-3-1Grant Dawson vs Julian ErosaJulian ErosaJuicy J |31-13-0

Grant DawsonKGD24-3-1

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

Time5:00

24-3-1Record31-13-0

32Age37

5'10"Height6'1"

72"Reach74"

155 lbsWeight145 lbs

FeatherweightWeight ClassFeatherweight

Julian ErosaJuicy J31-13-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Grant Dawson owns a 106-point Elo edge (great). Neither side shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Grant Dawson and Julian Erosa across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Grant DawsonJulian Erosa

Recent form

Grant DawsonW L W W W · +31 Elo last 5

WLWWW

Julian ErosaL L W W W · +11 Elo last 5

LLWWW

Elo edge

Grant Dawson1801+13 last move

Julian Erosa1695-19 last move

Why they are ranked here

Grant Dawson#10 of 422 active Lightweight fighters · 1801 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Mark Madsen (rated 1734 at the time): +18.
Costliest loss: Lost to King Green (rated 1685 at the time): -26.
Last 5 fights: 4 wins, 1 loss, +31 Elo in total.
Next places: 11 points behind #9 Salahdine Parnasse, 7 ahead of #11 Paddy Pimblett.

Julian Erosa#80 of 401 active Featherweight fighters · 1695 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Christian Rodriguez (rated 1715 at the time): +16.
Costliest loss: Lost to Lerryan Douglas (rated 1597 at the time): -19.
Last 5 fights: 3 wins, 2 losses, +11 Elo in total.
Next places: 2 points behind #79 T.J. Laramie, 1 ahead of #81 Bogdan Grad.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

What's at stake

Grant DawsonNow 1801 · #10 Lightweight

Wins by decision+8→ 1809

Loses by decision-16→ 1785

Julian ErosaNow 1695 · #80 Featherweight

Wins by decision+16→ 1711

Loses by decision-8→ 1687

What-if simulatorPremium

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Grant DawsonvsJulian Erosa

Takedown accuracy

0%vs8%

Sig. strikes absorbed per min

2.14vs6.31

Takedown average

3.58vs1.73

Sig. strikes landed per min

3.14vs6.18

Finishing profile

Grant Dawsonsubmission leads 58% of wins

Julian Erosasubmission leads 45% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Grant DawsonJulian Erosa

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.14Sig. strikes landed per min6.18

UFC lightweight average : 3.82

51Sig. strike accuracy48

UFC lightweight average : 46%

2.14Sig. strikes absorbed per min6.31

UFC lightweight average : 3.91

45Sig. strike defense49

UFC lightweight average : 53%

3.58Takedown average1.73

UFC lightweight average : 1.68

0Takedown accuracy8

UFC lightweight average : 28%

67Takedown defense62

UFC lightweight average : 59%

1.36Submission average0.71

UFC lightweight average : 0.50

5Wins by knockout12

14Wins by submission14

5Wins by decision5

3Losses by knockout8

0Losses by submission0

0Losses by decision5

Grant Dawson vs Julian Erosa is a scheduled Featherweight fight on UFC FIGHT NIGHT : LEWIS VS DOS SANTOS. Grant Dawson enters with a 24-3-1 record and Julian Erosa enters with a 31-13-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.