Tatiana Suarez vs Virna Jandiroba

DateNov 7, 2026

DivisionWomen's Strawweight

StatusScheduled

VenueMeta APEX

BroadcastPARAMOUNT+

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, November 7, 2026 — watch on PARAMOUNT+.

US East (ET): Sat 6:00 PM
US West (PT): Sat 3:00 PM
United Kingdom: Sat 11:00 PM
Central Europe: Sun 12:00 AM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 10:00 AM
Your time

Tatiana Suarez12-1-0Tatiana Suarez vs Virna JandirobaVirna JandirobaCarcara |23-4-0

Tatiana Suarez12-1-0

Fight Overview

Round3

Time5:00

12-1-0Record23-4-0

35Age38

5'5"Height5'3"

66"Reach 64"

115 lbsWeight115 lbs

Women's StrawweightWeight ClassWomen's Strawweight

Virna JandirobaCarcara23-4-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Virna Jandiroba owns a 10-point Elo edge (great). Tatiana Suarez shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. 3 shared opponents give extra context.

Compare Tatiana Suarez and Virna Jandiroba across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Tatiana SuarezVirna Jandiroba

Recent form

Tatiana SuarezW W L W W · +65 Elo last 5

WWLWW

Virna JandirobaW L W W W · +39 Elo last 5

WLWWW

Elo edge

Tatiana Suarez1760+16 last move

Virna Jandiroba1770+12 last move

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.7-2026-08-28

69%Tatiana Suarez31%Virna Jandiroba

Model favoriteTatiana Suarez

Elo baseline49% for Tatiana Suarez

Matchup adjustment+20 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Tatiana SuarezStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model flips Elo

The full model flips the Elo-only lean: Tatiana Suarez is 69%, after Elo alone favored Virna Jandiroba at 51%.

Current Elo ratings1760 · 1770Virna Jandiroba leads by 10 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1652 · 1684Virna Jandiroba faced the stronger recent schedule (10 vs 10 sampled fights).

Elo record depth13 · 24 fightsVirna Jandiroba has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesTatiana Suarez 3 · 1 Virna JandirobaStrongest available gap: Submission average toward Virna Jandiroba.

Stat advantages

Tatiana SuarezvsVirna Jandiroba

Submission average

0.57vs1.52

Sig. strikes absorbed per min

1.58vs2.90

Takedown average

4.41vs2.85

Sig. strike accuracy

61%vs41%

Finishing profile

Tatiana Suarezsubmission leads 50% of wins

Virna Jandirobasubmission leads 61% of wins

Common opponents

Amanda Lemos Tatiana Suarez: win · Decision (Unanimous) · Sep 13, 2025 Virna Jandiroba: win · Submission (Armbar) · Jul 20, 2024

Lupita Godinez Tatiana Suarez: win · Submission (Rear Naked Choke) · Apr 11, 2026 Virna Jandiroba: win · Decision (Unanimous) · Mar 30, 2024

Carla Esparza Tatiana Suarez: win · Ground & Pound · Sep 8, 2018 Virna Jandiroba: loss · Decision (Unanimous) · Apr 27, 2019

Tale of the tape

Tatiana SuarezVirna Jandiroba

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.95Sig. strikes landed per min2.33

UFC strawweight average : 4.00

61Sig. strike accuracy41

UFC strawweight average : 45%

1.58Sig. strikes absorbed per min2.90

UFC strawweight average : 4.06

45Sig. strike defense56

UFC strawweight average : 54%

4.41Takedown average2.85

UFC strawweight average : 1.38

44Takedown accuracy38

UFC strawweight average : 32%

80Takedown defense74

UFC strawweight average : 60%

0.57Submission average1.52

UFC strawweight average : 0.42

2Wins by knockout1

6Wins by submission14

4Wins by decision8

0Losses by knockout0

0Losses by submission0

1Losses by decision4

Tatiana Suarez vs Virna Jandiroba is a scheduled Women's Strawweight fight on UFC FIGHT NIGHT : BONFIM VS BRADY. Tatiana Suarez enters with a 12-1-0 record and Virna Jandiroba enters with a 23-4-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.