UFC FIGHT NIGHT : STERLING VS ZALAL

Jafel Filho vs Lucas Rocha

EventUFC FIGHT NIGHT : STERLING VS ZALAL
DateApr 25, 2026
DivisionFight card
StatusScheduled
VenueMeta APEX
BroadcastPARAMOUNT +
Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, April 25, 2026 — watch on PARAMOUNT +.

US East (ET)
Sat 8:00 PM
US West (PT)
Sat 5:00 PM
United Kingdom
Sun 1:00 AM
Central Europe
Sun 2:00 AM
Australia (Sydney)
Sun 10:00 AM

Jafel Filho vs Lucas Rocha is a scheduled Fight card fight on UFC FIGHT NIGHT : STERLING VS ZALAL. Jafel Filho enters with a 17-5-0 record and Lucas Rocha enters with a 18-2-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.

Jafel Filho vs Lucas Rocha quick answers

When is Jafel Filho vs Lucas Rocha?

Jafel Filho vs Lucas Rocha is listed for UFC FIGHT NIGHT : STERLING VS ZALAL on Apr 25, 2026 at 8:00 PM EST.

What event is Jafel Filho vs Lucas Rocha on?

Jafel Filho vs Lucas Rocha is listed on UFC FIGHT NIGHT : STERLING VS ZALAL.

What are the records for Jafel Filho vs Lucas Rocha?

Jafel Filho enters with a 17-5-0 record and Lucas Rocha enters with a 18-2-0 record.

What division is Jafel Filho vs Lucas Rocha?

Jafel Filho vs Lucas Rocha is listed as a Fight card fight.

Jafel FilhoPastor |17-5-0Jafel Filho vs Lucas RochaLucas RochaFenomeno |18-2-0
brJafel FilhoPastor17-5-0Jafel Filhobr

Fight Overview

Round3
Time5:00
17-5-0Record18-2-0
33Age26
5'7"Height5'2"
68"Reach64"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Fight cardWeight ClassFight card
brLucas RochaFenomeno18-2-0brLucas Rocha
Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Lucas Rocha owns a 9-point Elo edge (good). Neither side shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. 1 shared opponent give extra context.

Compare Jafel Filho and Lucas Rocha across their careers →

Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Jafel FilhoLucas Rocha
16501700202420252026

Recent form

Jafel FilhoL W L W W · +18 Elo last 5
LWLWW
Lucas RochaW L W W W · +41 Elo last 5
WLWWW

Elo edge

Jafel Filho1669-19 last move
Lucas Rocha1678+15 last move
Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Stat advantages

Jafel FilhovsLucas Rocha
Submission average
2.24vs0
Sig. strikes landed per min
1.85vs5.09
Sig. strikes absorbed per min
1.62vs3.67
Takedown accuracy
45%vs75%

Finishing profile

Jafel Filhosubmission leads 65% of wins
Lucas RochaKO/TKO leads 56% of wins

Tale of the tape

Jafel FilhoLucas Rocha
1.85Sig. strikes landed per min5.09
UFC flyweight average : 4.07
42Sig. strike accuracy50
UFC flyweight average : 45%
1.62Sig. strikes absorbed per min3.67
UFC flyweight average : 3.86
50Sig. strike defense56
UFC flyweight average : 55%
2.52Takedown average1.64
UFC flyweight average : 1.43
45Takedown accuracy75
UFC flyweight average : 28%
67Takedown defense76
UFC flyweight average : 57%
2.24Submission average0
UFC flyweight average : 0.60
5Wins by knockout10
11Wins by submission4
1Wins by decision4
0Losses by knockout1
2Losses by submission1
3Losses by decision0

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