Jason Saggo vs Gilbert Burns

Sep 16, 2017 · ESPN+

DateSep 16, 2017

DivisionLightweight

StatusScheduled

VenuePPG Paints Arena

BroadcastESPN+

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, September 16, 2017 — watch on ESPN+.

US East (ET): Sat 3:00 PM
US West (PT): Sat 12:00 PM
United Kingdom: Sat 8:00 PM
Central Europe: Sat 9:00 PM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 5:00 AM
Your time

Jason Saggo13-4-0Jason Saggo vs Gilbert BurnsGilbert BurnsDurinho |22-10-0

Jason Saggo13-4-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

Time04:52

13-4-0Record22-10-0

40Age40

5'11"Height5'10"

71,0"Reach 71"

155 lbsWeight170 lbs

LightweightWeight ClassLightweight

Gilbert BurnsDurinho22-10-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Gilbert Burns owns a 65-point Elo edge (good). Gilbert Burns shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. 1 shared opponent give extra context.

Compare Jason Saggo and Gilbert Burns across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Jason SaggoGilbert Burns

Recent form

Jason SaggoW L L W W · +17 Elo last 5

WLLWW

Gilbert BurnsL L L L L · -68 Elo last 5

LLLLL

Elo edge

Jason Saggo1681+14 last move

Gilbert Burns1746-15 last move

Why they are ranked here

Jason SaggoNot on the active ladder · 1681 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Josh Shockley (rated 1651 at the time): +20.
Costliest loss: Lost to Gilbert Burns (rated 1690 at the time): -19.
Last 5 fights: 3 wins, 2 losses, +17 Elo in total.
Inactivity: Placed on 1591, not 1681: 90 points are held back after more than 18 months without a fight, until the next one.

Gilbert Burns#32 of 356 active Welterweight fighters · 1746 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Neil Magny (rated 1783 at the time): +20.
Costliest loss: Lost to Kamaru Usman (rated 1815 at the time): -19.
Last 5 fights: 0 wins, 5 losses, -68 Elo in total.
Next places: 5 points behind #31 Jake Matthews, 0 ahead of #33 Jacobe Smith.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

What's at stake

Jason SaggoNow 1681

Wins by decision+19→ 1700

Loses by decision-13→ 1668

Gilbert BurnsNow 1746 · #32 Welterweight

Wins by decision+10→ 1756

Loses by decision-14→ 1732

What-if simulatorPremium

Pick the winner and how the fight ends to see both new ratings, both new division ranks, and who each fighter would pass.

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Jason SaggovsGilbert Burns

Takedown accuracy

40%vs11%

Takedown defense

23%vs54%

Submission average

0vs0.44

Sig. strikes landed per min

2.50vs3.16

Finishing profile

Jason Saggosubmission leads 69% of wins

Gilbert Burnssubmission leads 41% of wins

Common opponents

Paul Felder Jason Saggo: loss · Decision · Oct 4, 2014Gilbert Burns: cancelled · Cancelled Bout · Feb 11, 2017

Tale of the tape

Jason SaggoGilbert Burns

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.50Sig. strikes landed per min3.16

UFC lightweight average : 3.82

40Sig. strike accuracy48

UFC lightweight average : 46%

2.94Sig. strikes absorbed per min3.68

UFC lightweight average : 3.91

52Sig. strike defense53

UFC lightweight average : 53%

2.33Takedown average2.04

UFC lightweight average : 1.68

40Takedown accuracy11

UFC lightweight average : 28%

23Takedown defense54

UFC lightweight average : 59%

0Submission average0.44

UFC lightweight average : 0.50

3Wins by knockout6

9Wins by submission9

1Wins by decision7

1Losses by knockout5

0Losses by submission0

3Losses by decision5

Jason Saggo vs Gilbert Burns is a scheduled Lightweight fight on UFC FIGHT NIGHT : ROCKHOLD VS BRANCH. Jason Saggo enters with a 13-4-0 record and Gilbert Burns enters with a 22-10-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.