Michele Oliveira vs Farida Abdueva

Oct 22, 2026 · UFC Fight Pass

Combat Edge model forecast49%Michele Oliveira51%Farida AbduevaFull forecast and your pick

DateOct 22, 2026

DivisionStrawweight

StatusScheduled

VenueADNEC Marina

BroadcastUFC Fight Pass

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Thursday, October 22, 2026 — watch on UFC Fight Pass.

US East (ET): Thu 1:00 PM
US West (PT): Thu 10:00 AM
United Kingdom: Thu 6:00 PM
Central Europe: Thu 7:00 PM
Australia (Sydney): Fri 4:00 AM
Your time

Michele Oliveira6-1-0Michele Oliveira vs Farida AbduevaFarida Abdueva8-2-0

Michele Oliveira6-1-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

6-1-0Record8-2-0

31Age22

5'4"Height5'4"

64.2"Reach66"

115 lbsWeight116 lbs

StrawweightWeight ClassStrawweight

Farida Abdueva8-2-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Farida Abdueva owns a 4-point Elo edge (solid). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. 1 shared opponent give extra context.

Compare Michele Oliveira and Farida Abdueva across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Michele OliveiraFarida Abdueva

Recent form

Michele OliveiraW W W W L · +57 Elo last 5

WWWWL

Farida AbduevaL W W W W · +51 Elo last 5

LWWWW

Elo edge

Michele Oliveira1612+14 last move

Farida Abdueva1616-27 last move

Why they are ranked here

Michele Oliveira#54 of 108 active Women Strawweight fighters · 1612 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Mayra Fernandes (rated 1500 at the time): +29.
Costliest loss: Lost to Stephanie Luciano (rated 1524 at the time): -22.
Last 5 fights: 4 wins, 1 loss, +57 Elo in total.
Next places: 0 points behind #53 Loma Lookboonmee, 0 ahead of #55 Moeri Suda.

Farida Abdueva#49 of 108 active Women Strawweight fighters · 1616 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Gumru Ganbarova (rated 1500 at the time): +27.
Costliest loss: Lost to Anastasiya Svetkivska (rated 1483 at the time): -34.
Last 5 fights: 4 wins, 1 loss, +51 Elo in total.
Next places: 0 points behind #48 Amanda Ribas, 2 ahead of #50 Victoria Dudakova.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.8-2026-10-04

49%Michele Oliveira51%Farida Abdueva

Model favoriteFarida Abdueva

Elo baseline51% for Farida Abdueva

Matchup adjustment0 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Farida AbduevaStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model + Elo agree

Farida Abdueva leads the full model at 51%. Elo agrees, and the complete matchup model strengthens that lean by 1 point.

Current Elo ratings1612 · 1616Farida Abdueva leads by 4 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1495 · 1518Farida Abdueva faced the stronger recent schedule (7 vs 10 sampled fights).

Elo record depth7 · 10 fightsFarida Abdueva has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

What's at stake

Michele OliveiraNow 1612 · #54 Women Strawweight

Wins by decision+24→ 1636

Loses by decision-24→ 1588

Farida AbduevaNow 1616 · #49 Women Strawweight

Wins by decision+16→ 1632

Loses by decision-16→ 1600

What-if simulatorPremium

Pick the winner and how the fight ends to see both new ratings, both new division ranks, and who each fighter would pass.

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Michele OliveiravsFarida Abdueva

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Michele Oliveirasubmission leads 50% of wins

Farida AbduevaKO/TKO leads 50% of wins

Common opponents

Zulfiya KurbashovaMichele Oliveira: win · TKO (Punches) · Jun 13, 2025Farida Abdueva: win · Decision (Unanimous) · May 17, 2024

Tale of the tape

Michele OliveiraFarida Abdueva

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per minNot available

UFC strawweight average : 4.15

Not availableSig. strike accuracyNot available

UFC strawweight average : 45%

Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per minNot available

UFC strawweight average : 4.11

Not availableSig. strike defenseNot available

UFC strawweight average : 54%

Not availableTakedown averageNot available

UFC strawweight average : 1.37

Not availableTakedown accuracyNot available

UFC strawweight average : 32%

Not availableTakedown defenseNot available

UFC strawweight average : 59%

Not availableSubmission averageNot available

UFC strawweight average : 0.43

1Wins by knockout4

3Wins by submission0

2Wins by decision4

0Losses by knockout0

0Losses by submission1

1Losses by decision1

Michele Oliveira vs Farida Abdueva is a scheduled Strawweight fight on UAE WARRIORS 74 : OLIVEIRA VS ABDUEVA. Michele Oliveira enters with a 6-1-0 record and Farida Abdueva enters with a 8-2-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.